Result
2:2
03/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 32
- Referee: Van De Velde D. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (254/315) | 80% (292/367) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (254/315) | 80% (292/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (43/67) | 66% (89/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Pau M. ⚽, Boonen I. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, De Wannemacker A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Mocsnik M. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 1, Kim M. ⚽,
- 58', Soumare M. 🟨,
- 61', Erabi J. 🟨,
- 66', Boonen I. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
- 69', Kim M. ↓, Driessen J. ↑,
- 69', Akpan C. ↓, Yoshinaga Y. ↑,
- 69', Nzoko D. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Van Aerschot S. ⚽, Pau M. (A),
- 79', Pau M. ↓, Van den Bergh R. ↑,
- 90+2', Lloci M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Haroun K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk U23
26.2% | Draw
24% | Lokeren
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Genk U23 - Lokeren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(3.14) |
3.91 ↑
(3.53) |
1.88 ↓
(2.04) |
7.1%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Genk U23 - Lokeren?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lokeren will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk U23: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Lokeren has had a series of home games.
- Lokeren is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk U23 won against Lokeren?
Genk U23 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokeren won against Genk U23?
Lokeren has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk U23 - Lokeren were as follows:
14.12.2025
Lokeren
-
Genk U23
2:2
02.03.2025
Genk U23
-
Lokeren
1:2
03.11.2024
Lokeren
-
Genk U23
4:0
Latest results of Genk U23
Latest results of Lokeren
