Loko vs Chaika – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Loko
61.9%
Draw
19.5%
Chaika
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 22.1% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 23.3% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Loko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Loko's performance.
  • Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loko that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Loko - Chaika Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.76)
    4.81
    (4.25)
    5.04
    (3.85)
    6.7%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko won 4.
    • Loko has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Chaika is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Loko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Loko is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Loko won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 69:42. (average 3.5:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Loko won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 3.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Loko - Chaika were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Chaika - Loko 4:5
    22.10.2025 Loko - Chaika 3:1
    14.08.2025 Loko - Chaika 7:1
    17.08.2024 Loko - Chaika 3:4
    10.04.2024 Chaika - Loko 1:2
    Latest results of Loko
    17.04.2026 Dinamo-Shinnik - Loko 2:3
    14.04.2026 Loko - Dinamo-Shinnik 6:1
    13.04.2026 Loko - Dinamo-Shinnik 3:1
    Latest results of Chaika
    19.04.2026 Chaika - Omskye Yastreby 2:0
    18.04.2026 Chaika - Omskye Yastreby 3:2
    15.04.2026 Omskye Yastreby - Chaika 2:3
    14.04.2026 Omskye Yastreby - Chaika 4:0
    10.04.2026 Irbis Kazan - Chaika 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LokoBye
    2Din. St. PetersburgTayfun2 : 0
    3Dyn. MoscowBye
    4Dinamo-ShinnikKrylya Sovetov2 : 1
    5Omskie YastrebyBye
    6Mamonty YugrySibirskie Snaipery0 : 2
    7IrbisBye
    8ChaikaLadya2 : 0
    9MHC SpartakBye
    10Mikhaylov Academy U20SKA-Akademiya2 : 0
    11SKA-1946Bye
    12ByeKrasnaya Armiya
    13Stalnye LisyBye
    14Belye MedvediLoko-762 : 0
    15TolparBye
    16ByeAvto

    1/8-finals
    1LokoDin. St. Petersburg3 : 0
    2Dyn. MoscowDinamo-Shinnik1 : 3
    3Omskie YastrebySibirskie Snaipery3 : 2
    4IrbisChaika2 : 3
    5MHC SpartakMikhaylov Academy U203 : 1
    6SKA-1946Krasnaya Armiya2 : 3
    7Stalnye LisyBelye Medvedi3 : 1
    8TolparAvto1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1LokoDinamo-Shinnik3 : 0
    2Omskie YastrebyChaika1 : 3
    3MHC SpartakKrasnaya Armiya3 : 1
    4Stalnye LisyAvto1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1LokoChaika
    2MHC SpartakAvto