Nesebar vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 38

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
11
Total shots
107
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', 0 - 1, Kolev G. ,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 65', 🟨,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 1, ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 87', 🟥,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Nesebar
30%
Draw
25.4%
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 26% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 24.7% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nesebar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Nesebar - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.8)
    3.59
    (3.2)
    2.04
    (1.88)
    9.8%
    (20.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Nesebar - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Nesebar is Relegated to
    • Nesebar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gorna Oryahovitsa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Gorna Oryahovitsa could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nesebar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nesebar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nesebar - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar 0:0
    Latest results of Nesebar
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    2025/26
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    17Belasitsa ✔ 28371821:54-3316

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    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Belasitsa is Relegated to