Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Port Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
87:88
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bulgarian Cup - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6861
Field goals made
3230
Field goals %
47.06%49.18%
2-point field goals attempts
4637
2-point field goals made
2420
2-point field goals %
52.17%54.05%
3-point field goals attempts
2224
3-point field goals made
810
3-point field goals %
36.36%41.67%
Free throws attempts
2427
Free throws made
1520
Free throws %
62.5%74.1%
Offensive rebounds
1311
Defensive rebounds
2325
Total rebounds
3636
Assists
1720
Blocks
13
Turnovers
88
Steals
52
Personal fouls
2322

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Plovdiv
39.1%
Cherno More Port Varna
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Plovdiv's form might have worsened.
  • Cherno More Port Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cherno More Port Varna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Port Varna than the current prediction. (-15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cherno More Port Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (1.99)

    1.55
    (1.63)
    8.8%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 174.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Cherno More (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cherno More Port Varna will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cherno More Port Varna will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lokomotiv Plovdiv is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Cherno More is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cherno More may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 168:193. (average 84:96.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 77:86.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Cherno More Port Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 107:91
    06.10.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna 77:86
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
    Latest results of Cherno More Port Varna
    Draw
    2026

    Quarter-finals
    1BeroeLok. Plovdiv101 : 117
    2Rilski SportistAcademic Plovdiv88 : 81
    3BalkanSpartak Pleven85 : 53
    4MinyorCherno More91 : 105

    Semi-finals
    1Lok. PlovdivRilski Sportist100 : 99
    2BalkanCherno More76 : 77

    Final
    1Lok. PlovdivCherno More87 : 88