Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Neftohimic Burgas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bulgaria Cup - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Plovdiv
57.3%
Neftohimic Burgas
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Neftohimic Burgas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftohimic Burgas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftohimic Burgas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftohimic Burgas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.5)

    2.21
    (2.36)
    5.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Neftohimic Burgas has had a series of home games.
    • Lokomotiv Plovdiv might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftohimic Burgas were as follows:
    22.12.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftohimic Burgas 3:1
    18.10.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftohimic Burgas 3:0
    15.03.2025 Neftohimic Burgas - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0:3
    10.01.2025 Neftohimic Burgas - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3:0
    17.12.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Neftohimic Burgas 0:3
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
    Latest results of Neftohimic Burgas
    Draw
    2025/26

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokomotiv AviaMontana3 : 0
    2Neftohimic BurgasBeroe3 : 1
    3Levski SofiaPirin Razlog2 : 3
    4CSKA SofiaDeya Volley3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Lokomotiv AviaNeftohimic Burgas1 : 3
    2Pirin RazlogCSKA Sofia3 : 2

    Final
    1Neftohimic BurgasPirin Razlog3 : 1