Result
22/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Sofia 57% | Draw 24.6% | Spartak Varna 18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.63) |
3.8 ↑ (3.6) |
5.08 ↑ (4.8) |
8.1% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3.
- Lokomotiv Sofia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Spartak Varna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Lokomotiv Sofia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Sofia won against Spartak Varna?
Lokomotiv Sofia has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Varna won against Lokomotiv Sofia?
Spartak Varna has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna were as follows:
28.03.2025
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
2:1
06.10.2024
Spartak Varna
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
3:2
18.11.2023
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
0:1
11.03.2023
Spartak Varna
-
Lokomotiv Sofia
1:2
27.08.2022
Lokomotiv Sofia
-
Spartak Varna
3:2
Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
Latest results of Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ludogorets | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 12 |
2 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 12 |
3 | Lok. Plovdiv | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 11 |
4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Cherno More | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
6 | Lok. Sofia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 8 |
7 | Dobrudzha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Arda | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
9 | Beroe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 |
10 | Spartak Varna | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
11 | Botev Vratsa | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
12 | CSKA Sofia | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Montana | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:11 | -9 | 2 |
14 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
15 | Botev Plovdiv | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
16 | Septemvri Sofia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )