Lokomotiv Sofia vs Spartak Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna
Result
2:1
28/03/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Round 26
  • Referee: Popov N. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
115
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
20
Corner Kicks
93
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1115
Fouls
1411
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Aralica A. (Pen),
  • 32', Octavio 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Berna , Mitkov D. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Vutov A. , Mitkov D. (A),
  • 77', Mitev V. , Konate P. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Delev S. ,
  • 83', Baurenski Y. , Xande ,
  • 84', Galchev P. , Ali D. ,
  • 84', Brrou A. , Nenov Y. ,
  • 84', Aralica A. , Dikov S. ,
  • 86', Lesniak F. , Ilic C. ,
  • 90+1', Octavio , Pitsolis A. ,
  • 90+1', Delev S. , Ivanov L. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Sofia
43.2%
Draw
29.1%
Spartak Varna
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 30.9% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 30.5% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.36)
    3.18
    (3.01)
    3.33
    (3.13)
    8.1%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Sofia: 19.1%73.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lokomotiv Sofia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Spartak Varna: Johnson K. (Injury) Kurokawa A. (Inactive) Nachev D. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Sofia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia 3:2
    18.11.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna 0:1
    11.03.2023 Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia 1:2
    27.08.2022 Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna 3:2
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ludogorets22006:066
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia21102:114
    3Levski Sofia11005:053
    4Lok. Plovdiv11001:013
    5Spartak Varna20201:102
    6CSKA Sofia20202:202
    7Beroe20201:102
    8Slavia Sofia10102:201
    9Cherno More10101:101
    10Lok. Sofia10101:101
    11Botev Vratsa20112:3-11
    12Botev Plovdiv10101:101
    13Dobrudzha10010:1-10
    14Arda10010:1-10
    15Montana10010:5-50
    16Septemvri Sofia10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: )
          Parva liga (Relegation Group: )