SKA Saint Petersburg vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

SKA Arena (Saint Petersburg).

RUSSIA: KHL

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
16	27
Shooting PCT
31.25% (5/16)	7.41% (2/27)
Blocked Shots
11	15
Goalkeeper Saves
25	11
Saves PCT
92.59% (25/27)	73.33% (11/15)
Penalties
5	3
PIM
10	6
Power-play Goals
1	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)	0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)	66.67% (2/3)
Hits
42	19
Faceoffs Won
21	32
Faceoffs %
39.62	60.38
Giveaways
5	17
Takeaways
3	2
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:27, Zemchyonok A. (2 min),
14:32, Ivanov G. (2 min),
14:50, 1 - 0, Plotnikov S. (G), Demidov I. (A), Nikishin A. (A2)
15:22, Gritsyuk A. (2 min),
15:22, Rafikov R. (2 min),
18:16, 1 - 1, Beryozkin M. (G), Gernat M. (A), Kayumov A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:25, 2 - 1, Gritsyuk A. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Nikishin A. (A2)
03:33, 3 - 1, Demidov I. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Sapego S. (A2)
05:35, Zykov V. (2 min),
07:44, 3 - 2, Shalunov M. (G), Kayumov A. (A), Rafikov R. (A2)
15:48, 4 - 2, Bardakov Z. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:18, Panik R. (2 min),
06:26, Zemchyonok A. (2 min),
13:41, Pedan A. (2 min),
16:51, 5 - 2, Plotnikov S. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning

SKA Saint Petersburg
34.9%

Draw
24.6%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

25.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

24.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Saint Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA Saint Petersburg's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Yaroslavl's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Saint Petersburg than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.3)	3.9 ↑ (3.65)	2.38 ↓ (2.85)	4% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

What is the prediction for SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl?

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA won 1.
SKA is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lokomotiv is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Lokomotiv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in SKA: Akolzin P. (Injury) Kuznetsov E. (Injury) Vorobyov M. (Injury)
There will not play in Lokomotiv: Isayev D. (Injury) Yelesin A. (Injury)
Our prediction for today's Lokomotiv to win the game is with odds 2.39.
Last 20 head-to-head matches SKA won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 36:42 (average 1.8:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams SKA won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:21 (average 1.8:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has SKA Saint Petersburg won against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl?

SKA Saint Petersburg has won 6 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Yaroslavl won against SKA Saint Petersburg?

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has won 11 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl were as follows:

13.01.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg 4:3

17.12.2024 SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2:3

30.10.2024 SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2:3

07.10.2024 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg 3:4

09.09.2024 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg 2:0

Latest results of SKA Saint Petersburg

16.01.2025 SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets 4:7 ✺

13.01.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg 4:3 ✺

11.01.2025 Dynamo Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg 5:4 ✺

08.01.2025 SKA Saint Petersburg - Spartak Moscow 0:5 ✺

05.01.2025 SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha 5:2 ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

19.01.2025 Barys Astana - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 0:3 ✺

17.01.2025 Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2:3 ✺

13.01.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - SKA Saint Petersburg 4:3 ✺

10.01.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Spartak Moscow 5:4 ✺

07.01.2025 Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha 3:0 ✺

KHL Table

2025/26

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	CSKA Moscow	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Lada	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Cherepovets	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Spartak Moscow	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Nizhny Novgorod	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	SKA St. Petersburg	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Dinamo Minsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Dynamo Moscow	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Sochi	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Kunlun	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Khabarovsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Avangard Omsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Niznekamsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Novosibirsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Tractor Chelyabinsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Salavat Ufa	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Magnitogorsk	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Bars Kazan	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Barys Astana	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Yekaterinburg	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Vladivostok	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)