Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 35
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/322) | 84% (444/531) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/322) | 84% (444/531) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 52% (32/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (53/73) | 63% (103/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Kulenovic S. (Pen),
- 43', Smakaj A. 🟨,
- 45', Karacic F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 62', Busnja D. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 64', Stojkovic L. ↓, Kacavenda L. ↑,
- 64', Kulenovic S. ↓, Petkovic B. ↑,
- 73', Smakaj A. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
- 73', Fetai F. ↓, Krivak F. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Gorican S. ⚽,
- 76', Katic I. 🟨,
- 79', Pjaca M. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
- 86', Sigali L. 🟥,
- 90', Mudrazija R. ↓, Pajac M. ↑,
- 90', Gorican S. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
5.5% | Draw
12% | Dinamo Zagreb
82.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiva Zagreb's form might have worsened.Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Zagreb's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiva Zagreb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Zagreb, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
16.77 ↑
(6.46) |
7.83 ↑
(4.73) |
1.13 ↓
(1.42) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 1.
- Lokomotiva has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Antolic D.
(Inactive)
Canjuga I.
(Injury)
Hendija K.
(Inactive)
Krivak F.
(Injury)
Leovac M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vrbancic L.
(Inactive)
Vukovic D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Ademi A.
(Inactive)
Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:39. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
15.03.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
3:0
14.12.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Dinamo Zagreb
3:1
28.09.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
5:1
21.04.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
10.02.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
