Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 4
- Referee: Bel D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/442) | 77% (238/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (369/442) | 77% (238/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 39% (21/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (110/158) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (12/37) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Stojakovic A. ⚽, Vasilj J. (A),
- 16', Dajcer L. 🟨,
- 26', Antolic D. ↓, Katic I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Susak M. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 59', Katic I. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Boune M. ⚽,
- 62', Agbekpornu M. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
- 62', Barac M. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 66', Vasilj J. ↓, Subotic M. ↑,
- 70', Crepulja L. ↓, Liber A. ↑,
- 70', Katalinic Z. ↓, Caimacov M. ↑,
- 81', Krivak F. ↓, Vesovic M. ↑,
- 81', Boune M. ↓, Godec N. ↑,
- 82', Suto A. 🟨,
- 85', Bozic I. 🟥,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Caimacov M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
48.1% | Draw
27.1% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.12) |
3.55 ↑
(3.33) |
3.83 ↑
(3.33) |
2.8%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Slaven Belupo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Kruselj F.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Situm M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Slaven Belupo has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Slaven Belupo?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
18.04.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Slaven Belupo
0:2
09.02.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:1
02.11.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Slaven Belupo
0:1
17.08.2024
Slaven Belupo
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:2
12.05.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Slaven Belupo
2:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 12 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Osijek | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
