Result
1:2
28/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 15
- Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/447) | 89% (523/589) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/447) | 89% (523/589) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 64% (39/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (51/76) | 73% (109/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Seuntjens R. ⚽, De Grand S. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Atteri Z. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
- 27', Plastun I. 🟥,
- 30', Tolinsson J. 🟨,
- 34', Busquets O. ↓, Bokadi M. ↑,
- 45+4', Banguera Riascos J. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Youndje K. ↓, Gavory N. ↑,
- 58', Atteri Z. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
- 64', Tolinsson J. ↓, Schoofs L. ↑,
- 64', Pelupessy J. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
- 74', Banguera Riascos J. A. ↓, Eyoma T. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Salah M. ⚽,
- 79', Nuhu I. 🟨,
- 80', Reyners T. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
- 82', Muller M. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 82', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Caliskan B. ↑,
- 90+3', Eyoma T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Eupen
35.6% | Draw
26.9% | Lommel
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Eupen - Lommel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.71) |
3.45 ↑
(3.4) |
2.47 ↑
(2.37) |
7.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Eupen - Lommel?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Lommel will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Eupen (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lommel (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 4.
- In recent matches, Eupen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lommel has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Eupen has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Eupen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Eupen won against Lommel?
Eupen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against Eupen?
Lommel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eupen - Lommel were as follows:
01.02.2025
Eupen
-
Lommel
3:2
19.10.2024
Lommel
-
Eupen
1:1
