Result
3:2
24/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 21
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.78 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/531) | 81% (277/342) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (469/531) | 81% (277/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (166/198) | 60% (49/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (10/38) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.86 | -2.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', Keita A. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Nuhu I. ⚽,
- 32', Seuntjens R. 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 2, Nuhu I. ⚽, Delaurier-Chaubet L. (A),
- 45+3', Nuhu I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 60', Pelupessy J. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
- 60', Eyoma T. ↓, Vancsa Z. ↑,
- 60', Banguera Riascos J. A. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,
- 61', Schoofs L. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 65', Mohwald K. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 2, Vancsa Z. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
- 74', Atteri Z. ↓, Kikas ↑,
- 74', Nuhu I. ↓, Bitumazala N. ↑,
- 77', Van Genechten Y. ↓, Kennedy S. ↑,
- 77', Keita A. ↓, Bokadi M. ↑,
- 87', Salah M. ↓, Reumers A. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, De Grand S. ⚽, Lopez L. (A),
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Rommens N. ⚽, Seuntjens R. (A),
Chances of winning
Lommel
48.6% | Draw
26.4% | Eupen
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lommel - Eupen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2) |
3.49 ↑
(3.35) |
3.66 ↑
(3.36) |
8.6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lommel - Eupen?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lommel will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lommel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 1.
- Lommel has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Eupen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lommel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lommel could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against Eupen?
Lommel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eupen won against Lommel?
Eupen has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lommel - Eupen were as follows:
28.11.2025
Eupen
-
Lommel
1:2
01.02.2025
Eupen
-
Lommel
3:2
19.10.2024
Lommel
-
Eupen
1:1
