Result
3:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Van De Velde D. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (469/553) | 80% (322/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (469/553) | 80% (322/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (104/148) | 73% (82/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 3.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Salah M. ⚽, Reyners T. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Wouters D. ⚽, Seuntjens R. (A),
- 23', Malungu L. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 1, Ali A. ⚽, Francotte M. (A),
- 42', 3 - 1, Seuntjens R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', Seuntjens R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Diliberto N. ↓, Mondele L. ↑,
- 46', Gece T. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
- 52', Fixelles M. 🟨,
- 66', Fixelles M. ↓, Wukanya A. E. ↑,
- 68', Salah M. ↓, Tolinsson J. ↑,
- 74', van Duiven J. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 77', Malungu L. ↓, Bastian M. ↑,
- 81', Ali A. ↓, Legrand L. ↑,
- 85', Wouters D. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
- 85', Vancsa Z. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lommel
56.4% | Draw
23.8% | Francs Borains
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lommel's performance.Francs Borains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francs Borains than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Lommel - Francs Borains Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.8) |
3.9 ↑
(3.66) |
4.62 ↑
(3.84) |
7.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lommel - Francs Borains?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Francs Borains (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lommel will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 50%). Francs Borains (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 14).
- Lommel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Francs Borains is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Francs Borains may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lommel is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against Francs Borains?
Lommel has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Francs Borains won against Lommel?
Francs Borains has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lommel - Francs Borains were as follows:
23.08.2025
Francs Borains
-
Lommel
0:0
29.01.2025
Lommel
-
Francs Borains
1:2
14.09.2024
Francs Borains
-
Lommel
1:3
10.03.2024
Francs Borains
-
Lommel
1:2
24.09.2023
Lommel
-
Francs Borains
3:0
Latest results of Francs Borains
