Gent U23 vs Lommel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
11/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 29

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.772.12
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
720
Shots on target
29
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Passes
83% (458/554)86% (425/494)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.772.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.54
Total shots
720
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
18
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
415
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1535
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1210
Passes
83% (458/554)86% (425/494)
Long passes
38% (23/61)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
68% (80/117)74% (103/140)
Crosses
0% (0/5)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.84
Throw ins
169
Fouls
1012
Tackles
67% (4/6)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4029
Clearances
2715
Interceptions
815
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
70
xGOT faced
1.541.34
Goals prevented
-0.46-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Abdullahi A. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Abdullahi A. , Sylla A. D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Asselman W. , Mazouz J. ,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Mazouz J. , Vydysh R. (A),
  • 56', Pelupessy J. , Lopez L. ,
  • 56', van Duiven R. , Salah M. ,
  • 56', Rommens N. , Vancsa Z. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Reyners T. ,
  • 69', Chaidron A. , Cauwel M. ,
  • 83', Banguera Riascos J. A. 🟨,
  • 88', Tolinsson J. , Reumers A. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Schoofs L. , Reyners T. (A),
  • 90+3', van Duiven J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Vydysh R. , Buggea S. ,

Chances of winning


Gent U23
28.8%
Draw
25.1%
Lommel
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 25.6% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 24.6% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gent U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent U23 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Gent U23 - Lommel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    3.75
    (3.58)
    2.03
    (1.99)
    6.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Gent U23 - Lommel?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gent U23 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Lommel will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gent U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Lommel (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gent U23 (votes: 1 - 50%). Lommel (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lommel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gent U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gent U23 - Lommel were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Lommel - Gent U23 2:0
    Latest results of Gent U23
    Latest results of Lommel
    07.03.2026 Lommel - Kortrijk 1:1
    01.03.2026 Lommel - Seraing 0:1
    21.02.2026 Lokeren - Lommel 2:3
    14.02.2026 Lommel - Anderlecht U23 2:0
    08.02.2026 Beveren - Lommel 2:0