Lommel vs ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Lommel - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Result
3:0
16/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 2
  • Referee: Van De Velde D. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.830.32
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
88% (469/533)78% (283/365)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.830.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.07
Total shots
207
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
67
Passes
88% (469/533)78% (283/365)
Long passes
45% (15/33)36% (21/59)
Passes in final third
77% (103/133)62% (45/73)
Crosses
30% (7/23)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.27
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
710
Tackles
72% (13/18)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5143
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.071.65
Goals prevented
0.07-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Schoofs L. , van Duiven J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', Spago E. 🟨,
  • 59', Santos A. , Tewelde F. ,
  • 60', Florica L. 🟨,
  • 62', Medfai M. , Kima Beyissa K. ,
  • 71', Reyners T. , Pelupessy J. ,
  • 71', van Duiven J. , Seuntjens R. ,
  • 71', Berberi R. , Diallo T. ,
  • 76', Florica L. , Eyongo R. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Salah M. ,
  • 82', Salah M. , Montano J. ,
  • 86', 3 - 0, Schoofs L. (Pen),
  • 88', Spago E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lommel
51.1%
Draw
26%
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 27.2% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 26.3% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Lommel - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.97)
    3.56
    (3.4)
    3.99
    (3.58)
    8%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lommel - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne?
  • Users Predictions: Lommel will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Lommel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • ROCCM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lommel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lommel is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
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