ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne vs Lommel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 18
  • Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.12
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
78% (284/362)86% (478/558)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.492.03
Total shots
149
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
129
Passes
78% (284/362)86% (478/558)
Long passes
49% (31/63)59% (35/59)
Passes in final third
67% (66/99)77% (136/176)
Crosses
24% (4/17)10% (3/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.75
Throw-ins
1428
Fouls
912
Tackles
64% (7/11)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4040
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
2.030.49
Goals prevented
0.03-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Seuntjens R. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Ferrara L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Thea A. , Kis K. ,
  • 59', Pelupessy J. , Eyoma T. ,
  • 59', Vancsa Z. , Salah M. ,
  • 63', Cachbach M. , Diallo T. ,
  • 63', Ion R. , Sarkic O. ,
  • 72', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 80', Florica L. , Berberi R. ,
  • 80', Lake T. , Cisse M. ,
  • 82', Lopez L. , Rommens N. ,
  • 82', Reyners T. , Montano J. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Seuntjens R. , Schoofs L. (A),
  • 88', De Grand S. , Oware H. ,

Chances of winning


ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
29.4%
Draw
25.7%
Lommel
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 24.6% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6% 24.1% 52.1%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lommel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.13
(4.15)
3.62
(3.73)
2.06
(1.72)
8.1%
(8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lommel?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. ROCCM will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lommel will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lommel: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lommel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lommel could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, ROCCM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lommel were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Lommel - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 3:0
    Latest results of Lommel
    12.12.2025 Lommel - Gent U23 2:0
    28.11.2025 Eupen - Lommel 1:2
    22.11.2025 Kortrijk - Lommel 4:2
    07.11.2025 Lommel - Beveren 2:2
    31.10.2025 Lierse - Lommel 4:4