Result
3:2
04/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 32
- Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (496/563) | 80% (290/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (496/563) | 80% (290/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (22/37) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (127/166) | 64% (51/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 88% (23/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Stevanovic F. ↓, Rommens N. ↑,
- 47', Robail G. 🟨,
- 50', Wouters D. 🟨,
- 53', Rommens N. 🟨,
- 59', Moore T. ↓, Kestens P. ↑,
- 59', Szulc O. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Seuntjens R. ⚽, Schoofs L. (A),
- 62', 1 - 1, Poku K. ⚽, Robail G. (A),
- 72', 2 - 1, Schoofs L. ⚽, De Grand S. (A),
- 75', Robail G. ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 2, Simbakoli U. ⚽,
- 88', Doudaev D. R. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
- 88', 3 - 2, Banguera Riascos J. A. ⚽, Seuntjens R. (A),
- 90+1', Lopez L. ↓, Oware H. ↑,
- 90+5', Salah M. ↓, Eyoma T. ↑,
- 90+5', Seuntjens R. ↓, Reumers A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lommel
65.2% | Draw
20.5% | RWDM Brussels
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lommel's performance.RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RWDM Brussels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lommel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RWDM Brussels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lommel - RWDM Brussels Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.75) |
4.57 ↑
(3.71) |
6.55 ↑
(4.03) |
7.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lommel - RWDM Brussels?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- RWDM Brussels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lommel is considered a favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lommel won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lommel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lommel won against RWDM Brussels?
Lommel has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RWDM Brussels won against Lommel?
RWDM Brussels has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lommel - RWDM Brussels were as follows:
09.08.2025
RWDM Brussels
-
Lommel
3:3
11.04.2025
RWDM Brussels
-
Lommel
0:1
25.08.2024
Lommel
-
RWDM Brussels
0:2
13.11.2022
RWDM Brussels
-
Lommel
5:0
01.10.2022
Lommel
-
RWDM Brussels
2:1
Latest results of RWDM Brussels
