Newcastle Falcons vs London Irish – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union English Premiership Rugby Newcastle Falcons - London Irish
Result
19:34
05/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 19
  • Referee: Ridley C. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newcastle Falcons
41.6%
Draw
4.2%
London Irish
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 4.7% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 4.9% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Falcons's form might have worsened.
  • London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting London Irish's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (-13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for London Irish, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Falcons - London Irish Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (1.74)
    22.4
    (19.5)
    1.7
    (2.2)
    8.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle Falcons - London Irish?
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle Falcons will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle Falcons won 1.
    • Recent matches Newcastle Falcons is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • London Irish is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Newcastle Falcons won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 327-367.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle Falcons won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 168-144.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Falcons - London Irish were as follows:
    03.12.2022 London Irish - Newcastle Falcons 39:17
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Latest results of London Irish
    18.02.2023 Bath - London Irish 10:25
    29.01.2023 London Irish - Harlequins 42:24
    22.01.2023 Montpellier - London Irish 21:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bath (1)Bristol (4)34 : 20
    2Leicester Tigers (2)Sale Sharks (3)21 : 16

    Final
    1Bath (1)Leicester Tigers (2)23 : 21