Result
19:34
05/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: PREMIERSHIP RUGBY - ROUND 19
- Referee: Ridley C. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Newcastle Falcons 41.6% | Draw 4.2% | London Irish 54.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Falcons's form might have worsened.London Irish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting London Irish's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for London Irish than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for London Irish, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle Falcons - London Irish Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 ↑ (1.74) |
22.4 ↑ (19.5) |
1.7 ↓ (2.2) |
8.4% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 49.00The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
What is the prediction for Newcastle Falcons - London Irish?
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Falcons will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:27.
Preview Facts
- The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle Falcons won 1.
- Recent matches Newcastle Falcons is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- London Irish is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Newcastle Falcons won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 327-367.
- Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle Falcons won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 168-144.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Falcons won against London Irish?
Newcastle Falcons has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has London Irish won against Newcastle Falcons?
London Irish has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Falcons - London Irish were as follows:
03.12.2022
London Irish
-
Newcastle Falcons
39:17
Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
Latest results of London Irish
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals1 | Bath (1) | Bristol (4) | 34 : 20 |
2 | Leicester Tigers (2) | Sale Sharks (3) | 21 : 16 |
Final1 | Bath (1) | Leicester Tigers (2) | 23 : 21 |