Caxias vs Londrina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Second stage - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
72
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
26
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
78
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Alisson , Gustavo Henrique ,
  • 24', Matheus Leal 🟨,
  • 43', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Igor Torres , Jhonatan Ribeiro ,
  • 52', Jhonatan Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 53', Gonzaga W. 🟨,
  • 61', Welder , Giovane Gomez ,
  • 61', Cristiano , Gabriel Canela ,
  • 61', Vitinho , Henrique ,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 68', Vinicius Guedes , Douglas Skilo ,
  • 69', Calyson , Taua ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Quirino ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 76', Iago Teles , Ze Breno ,
  • 81', Quirino , Yago Lincoln ,
  • 81', Lucas Marques , Eliel ,
  • 90+1', Ze Breno 🟨,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caxias
43.1%
Draw
30.7%
Londrina
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 30.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Caxias - Londrina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.21)
    3.02
    (2.99)
    3.54
    (3.16)
    7.9%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Caxias - Londrina?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)
    • Caxias has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Londrina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Caxias will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Londrina were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Londrina - Caxias 1:1
    31.05.2025 Caxias - Londrina 4:2
    20.07.2024 Londrina - Caxias 2:0
    Latest results of Caxias
    20.09.2025 Londrina - Caxias 1:1
    13.09.2025 Caxias - São Bernardo 0:0
    07.09.2025 Floresta - Caxias 0:0
    30.08.2025 Maringá - Caxias 3:0
    23.08.2025 Caxias - Brusque 0:1
    Latest results of Londrina
    20.09.2025 Londrina - Caxias 1:1
    14.09.2025 Londrina - Floresta 0:0
    06.09.2025 São Bernardo - Londrina 2:2
    30.08.2025 Ponte Preta - Londrina 1:0
    24.08.2025 Londrina - Anápolis 1:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Figueirense00000:000
    2Volta Redonda00000:000
    3Ituano00000:000
    4Santa Cruz00000:000
    5Itabaiana00000:000
    6Confianca00000:000
    7Guarani00000:000
    8Paysandu PA00000:000
    9Botafogo PB00000:000
    10Brusque00000:000
    11Ferroviaria00000:000
    12SER Caxias00000:000
    13Anapolis00000:000
    14Maranhao00000:000
    15Inter de Limeira00000:000
    16Maringa FC00000:000
    17Ypiranga FC00000:000
    18Floresta EC00000:000
    19Amazonas00000:000
    20Barra FC00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D