Result
4:2
31/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 19', 1 - 0, Calyson ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Edson Carius ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, Calyson ⚽,
- 39', 3 - 1, Calyson ⚽,
- 45+3', 3 - 2, Eduardo Melo (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 🟨,
- 67', Eduardo Melo ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
- 67', Iago ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 73', Calyson ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
- 79', Edson Carius ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 79', Gustavo Franca ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 80', Tomas Bastos ↓, Yann Rolim ↑,
- 81', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 89', Sousa ↓, Robson Duarte ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 2, Gustavo Nescau ⚽,
- 90+5', Thauan 🟥,
Chances of winning
Caxias
38.7% | Draw
32.2% | Londrina
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caxias's form might have worsened.Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Londrina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caxias - Londrina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(1.96) |
2.85 ↓
(3.2) |
3.15 ↓
(3.67) |
8.9%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Caxias - Londrina?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Londrina (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Caxias will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Caxias won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Londrina?
Caxias has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Londrina won against Caxias?
Londrina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Londrina were as follows:
20.07.2024
Londrina
-
Caxias
2:0
Latest results of Londrina
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
