Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Alisson ↓, Gustavo Henrique ↑,
- 24', Matheus Leal 🟨,
- 43', Thiago Ennes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Igor Torres ↓, Jhonatan Ribeiro ↑,
- 52', Jhonatan Ribeiro 🟨,
- 53', Gonzaga W. 🟨,
- 61', Welder ↓, Giovane Gomez ↑,
- 61', Cristiano ↓, Gabriel Canela ↑,
- 61', Vitinho ↓, Henrique ↑,
- 66', 🟨,
- 68', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
- 69', Calyson ↓, Taua ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Quirino ⚽,
- 74', 🟨,
- 76', Iago Teles ↓, Ze Breno ↑,
- 81', Quirino ↓, Yago Lincoln ↑,
- 81', Lucas Marques ↓, Eliel ↑,
- 90+1', Ze Breno 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caxias
43.1% | Draw
30.7% | Londrina
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Caxias - Londrina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.21) |
3.02 ↑
(2.99) |
3.54 ↑
(3.16) |
7.9%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)
- Caxias has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Londrina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Caxias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Caxias will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caxias won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Londrina?
Caxias has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Londrina won against Caxias?
Londrina has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - Londrina were as follows:
20.09.2025
Londrina
-
Caxias
1:1
31.05.2025
Caxias
-
Londrina
4:2
20.07.2024
Londrina
-
Caxias
2:0
Latest results of Londrina
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Londrina | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Floresta EC | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | SER Caxias | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ponte Preta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Guarani | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Nautico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet
