Result
1:0
04/08/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Gabriel Razera ⚽, Felipe Muranga (A),
- 33', Felipe Muranga 🟨,
- 39', Iago Teles 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Cedric ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 56', Vitinho ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
- 58', Felipe Muranga ↓, Kaio Mendes ↑,
- 63', Gabriel Razera 🟨,
- 67', Robson Duarte ↓, Rikelmi ↑,
- 67', Eliel ↓, Quirino ↑,
- 74', Neto Berola ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Razera ↓, Osman ↑,
- 75', Thiago Moraes 🟨,
- 79', Lucas Marques ↓, Joao Tavares ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', Ramon ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
- 85', Thiago Moraes ↓, Daniel ↑,
- 90+1', Thassio 🟨,
- 90+5', Joao Vitor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ituano
35.9% | Draw
31% | Londrina
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Londrina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Ituano - Londrina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.31) |
2.96 ↓
(3.02) |
2.76 ↓
(2.99) |
9.1%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ituano - Londrina?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Londrina (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 2.
- Ituano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Londrina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ituano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ituano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Londrina?
Ituano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Londrina won against Ituano?
Londrina has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Londrina were as follows:
14.09.2023
Londrina
-
Ituano
2:2
27.05.2023
Ituano
-
Londrina
3:1
28.10.2022
Londrina
-
Ituano
0:2
Latest results of Londrina
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:6 | 15 | 32 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Floresta EC | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Brusque | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 10 | Ypiranga FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 12 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
| 13 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo PB | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 15 | Figueirense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
| 18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Retro ✔ | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
| 20 | Tombense ✔ | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Retro is Relegated to Serie D
Tombense is Relegated to Serie D
