Result
0:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
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10 | 2 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 5 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Total shots |
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10 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Auremir 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 🟨,
- 63', Auremir ↓, Rayan ↑,
- 63', Igor Bolt ↓, Kayon ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
- 68', Gabriel Canela ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 68', Joao Tavares ↓, Thauan ↑,
- 72', 0 - 2, Bruno Mezenga ⚽,
- 73', Eliel ↓, Robson Duarte ↑,
- 74', Ze Breno ↓, Caio Rafael ↑,
- 77', Arnaldo ↓, Marcos Ytalo ↑,
- 79', Helio Borges 🟨,
- 81', Alison 🟥,
- 83', Quirino ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
- 87', Helio Borges ↓, Wenderson ↑,
- 90+2', Igor Pereira 🟨,
- 90+4', Rayan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Londrina 42.4% | Draw 29.7% | Náutico Capibaribe 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↑ (2.07) |
3.07 ↓ (3.25) |
3.27 ↓ (3.3) |
9.7% (9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Londrina will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 4.
- Londrina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Náutico is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Londrina might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Londrina won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Londrina won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Londrina won against Náutico Capibaribe?
Londrina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náutico Capibaribe won against Londrina?
Náutico Capibaribe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe were as follows:
24.08.2024
Londrina
-
Náutico Capibaribe
3:2
Latest results of Londrina
Latest results of Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 36 |
2 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
3 | Nautico | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:6 | 14 | 29 |
4 | Sao Bernardo | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Londrina | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Floresta EC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
8 | Brusque | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 22 |
9 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Ypiranga FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13:17 | -4 | 21 |
11 | Ituano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 21 |
12 | Maringa FC | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Confianca | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
14 | Botafogo PB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 19 |
15 | Anapolis | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
16 | Itabaiana | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:18 | -5 | 18 |
17 | Figueirense | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 17 |
18 | ABC | 17 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 19:23 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Retro | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6:20 | -14 | 13 |
20 | Tombense | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )