Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Malagueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Morros ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Rafita ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Martinez Nicolas Á. ,

Chances of winning


Lorca Deportiva
49.6%
Draw
28.7%
Atlético Malagueño
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 26.5% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 25.1% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.7)
    3.22
    (3.48)
    4.29
    (4.76)
    7.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Lorca Deportiva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Malagueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lorca Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lorca Deportiva is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC24137431:151646
    2Recreativo Huelva24118533:161741
    3Deportiva Minera24125734:231141
    4UCAM Murcia24125734:27741
    5Lorca Deportiva24116726:21539
    6Xerez CD24116724:19539
    7Jaen24108629:25438
    8CD Extremadura2399534:29536
    9Yeclano241031121:22-133
    10Antoniano24941128:31-331
    11Linares23710627:32-531
    12La Union2386927:28-130
    13Puente Genil2478921:27-629
    14Xerez D.F.C2469928:31-327
    15Melilla23510821:22-125
    16CD Estepona24651323:34-1123
    17Almeria B24461418:34-1618
    18Malaga B24351618:41-2314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation