Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Malagueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Morros ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Rafita ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Martinez Nicolas Á. ,

Chances of winning


Lorca Deportiva
49.6%
Draw
28.7%
Atlético Malagueño
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 26.5% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 25.1% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.7)
    3.22
    (3.48)
    4.29
    (4.76)
    7.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Lorca Deportiva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Malagueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lorca Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lorca Deportiva is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CD Extremadura301411546:341253
    2Deportiva Minera30165942:281453
    3UCAM Murcia30157843:34952
    4Aguilas FC30157839:231652
    5Xerez CD30156930:24651
    6Recreativo Huelva30149736:191751
    7Jaen30139837:30748
    8Lorca Deportiva301281030:30044
    9Linares301013735:38-343
    10Yeclano301241428:28040
    11La Union301161337:37039
    12Antoniano301161332:35-339
    13Puente Genil30991224:32-836
    14CD Estepona30971432:39-734
    15Xerez D.F.C308101231:38-734
    16Melilla307121131:31033
    17Almeria B ✔ 30481821:44-2320
    18Malaga B ✔ 30452125:55-3017

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Almeria B is Relegated to
    Malaga B is Relegated to