Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Morros ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Rafita ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Martinez Nicolas Á. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lorca Deportiva 49.6% | Draw 28.7% | Atlético Malagueño 21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↑ (1.7) |
3.22 ↓ (3.48) |
4.29 ↓ (4.76) |
7.9% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Lorca Deportiva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Malagueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lorca Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lorca Deportiva is a strong favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Atlético Malagueño?
Lorca Deportiva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Malagueño won against Lorca Deportiva?
Atlético Malagueño has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño were as follows:
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aguilas FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 35:20 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Xerez CD | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 48 |
| 3 | Deportiva Minera | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | CD Extremadura | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
| 5 | UCAM Murcia | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 34:17 | 17 | 45 |
| 7 | Jaen | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | La Union | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Antoniano | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 36 |
| 11 | Linares | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 31:37 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Yeclano | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 22:25 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Xerez D.F.C | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | CD Estepona | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 29 |
| 16 | Melilla | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20:39 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22:48 | -26 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation