Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Morros ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Rafita ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Martinez Nicolas Á. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lorca Deportiva
49.6% | Draw
28.7% | Atlético Malagueño
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorca Deportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.7) |
3.22 ↓
(3.48) |
4.29 ↓
(4.76) |
7.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Lorca Deportiva has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Malagueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lorca Deportiva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lorca Deportiva is a strong favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Atlético Malagueño?
Lorca Deportiva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Malagueño won against Lorca Deportiva?
Atlético Malagueño has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño were as follows:
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52:37 | 15 | 60 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49:33 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 43:25 | 18 | 58 |
| 4 | Jaen | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 57 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:40 | 9 | 55 |
| 7 | Recreativo Huelva | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38:23 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Linares | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 41:43 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Lorca Deportiva | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 32:32 | 0 | 43 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 37:39 | -2 | 43 |
| 12 | CD Estepona | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:43 | -4 | 43 |
| 13 | La Union | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 43:43 | 0 | 42 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C. ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla ✔ | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 26:51 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 29:63 | -34 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Xerez D.F.C. is Relegated to
Melilla is Relegated to
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
