Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Escobar Hernandez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lorca Deportiva
48.7% | Draw
28.7% | Melilla
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Lorca Deportiva - Melilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.85) |
3.17 ↑
(3.17) |
4.02 ↑
(3.97) |
9.9%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).
- Lorca Deportiva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melilla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lorca Deportiva is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lorca Deportiva won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lorca Deportiva won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Melilla?
Lorca Deportiva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melilla won against Lorca Deportiva?
Melilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorca Deportiva - Melilla were as follows:
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Latest results of Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aguilas FC | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 46 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Deportiva Minera | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 41 |
| 5 | Lorca Deportiva | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Xerez CD | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 24:19 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Jaen | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | CD Extremadura | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 34:29 | 5 | 36 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 21:22 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Antoniano | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 31 |
| 11 | Linares | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | La Union | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Xerez D.F.C | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 15 | Melilla | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 25 |
| 16 | CD Estepona | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 18:41 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
