Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Television Melilla |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Claverias A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Naranjo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 84', 2 - 1, Iglesias J. ⚽,
- 90+6', Fernandez S. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Melilla
46.9% | Draw
28.7% | Lorca Deportiva
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Melilla - Lorca Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.14) |
3.2
(3.2) |
3.76 ↑
(3.42) |
9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Melilla is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Melilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Melilla won against Lorca Deportiva?
Melilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Melilla?
Lorca Deportiva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melilla - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
23.11.2025
Lorca Deportiva
-
Melilla
1:0
Latest results of Melilla
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 46:34 | 12 | 53 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 43:34 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 39:23 | 16 | 52 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 30:24 | 6 | 51 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 48 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 28:28 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | La Union | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 37:37 | 0 | 39 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:32 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Melilla | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 21:44 | -23 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
