Lorca Deportiva vs Unión Molinense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Carrasco A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lorca Deportiva
49.7%
Draw
30%
Unión Molinense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 27.7% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 26.7% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Molinense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Molinense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorca Deportiva - Unión Molinense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.03)
    3.04
    (3.3)
    4.5
    (3.35)
    9.7%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).
    • Lorca Deportiva in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Molinense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Lorca Deportiva will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorca Deportiva - Unión Molinense were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Unión Molinense - Lorca Deportiva 1:0
    09.03.2024 Lorca Deportiva - Unión Molinense 3:1
    22.10.2023 Unión Molinense - Lorca Deportiva 2:0
    29.01.2023 Lorca Deportiva - Unión Molinense 1:0
    Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
    Latest results of Unión Molinense
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Cieza30198353:163765
    2Real Murcia B30167754:371755
    3Molinense30157841:311052
    4Mazarron CF301312543:261751
    5Olimpico de Totana301311638:241450
    6UCAM Murcia B301213545:311449
    7Pulpileno30129928:27145
    8Santa Cruz301261232:32042
    9Aguilas FC B301191038:36242
    10Bala Azul30815733:25839
    11Minerva309111023:32-938
    12FC Cartagena SAD B30991238:35336
    13EG El Palmar CF30871524:39-1531
    14Deportivo Maritimo30791430:42-1230
    15Caravaca305111428:40-1226
    16Muleno305111426:47-2126
    17Yeclano B30591620:46-2624
    18Santomera30581729:57-2823

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation