Francesco Forti vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
30/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
63%59%
1st serve points won
67% (18/27)47% (14/30)
2nd serve points won
63% (10/16)33% (7/21)
Break Points Saved
0/26/12
1st return points won
53% (16/30)33% (9/27)
2nd return points won
67% (14/21)38% (6/16)
Break Points Converted
6/122/2
Winners
186
Unforced errors
1822
Net points won
73% (8/11)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
65% (28/43)41% (21/51)
Return Points Won
59% (30/51)35% (15/43)
Total Points Won
62% (58/94)38% (36/94)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
02
Service games won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return games won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total games won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Francesco Forti
57.2%
Lorenzo Carboni
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 50.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Forti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.72)

    2.18
    (1.98)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Forti will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Carboni will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Forti is ranked ATP: 600. Carboni is ranked ATP: 483.
    • Forti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Carboni's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni were as follows:
    23.03.2026 Lorenzo Carboni - Francesco Forti 1:2
    Latest results of Francesco Forti
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ribecai M. (LL)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Kasnikowski M. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Squire H.Poljicak M. (SE)0 : 2
    4Lokoli L. (Q)Giustino L. (7)0 : 2
    5Glinka D. (4)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    6Bailly G. A.Coppejans K.0 : 2
    7Fatic N.Bondioli F. (WC)2 : 0
    8Forti F. (Q)Sachko V. (5)0 : 2
    9Bertola R. (8)Gentzsch T.2 : 0
    10Dalla Valle E. (WC)Chazal M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Ajdukovic D. (Alt)Neumayer L.0 : 2
    12Nagal S.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Cecchinato M. (6)Romano F. (WC)2 : 0
    14Gill F.Cadenasso G.2 : 0
    15Mrva M.Krumich M. (Q)1 : 2
    16Dhamne M. (Q)Blanchet U. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ribecai M.Guerrieri A.
    2TBD #3Giustino L. (7)
    3Glinka D. (4)Coppejans K.
    4Fatic N.Sachko V. (5)
    5Bertola R. (8)Dalla Valle E.
    6Neumayer L.Samuel T. (3)
    7Cecchinato M. (6)Gill F.
    8Krumich M.Blanchet U. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2