Result
0:2
09/06/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 80% (20/25) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 68% (15/22) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 100% (2/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 45% (13/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 65% (11/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 80% (4/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 74% (34/46) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 26% (12/46) | 51% (23/45) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (34/91) | 63% (57/91) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 100% (8/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 50% (4/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 75% (12/16) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Carboni
35.7% | Luka Pavlovic
64.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Luka Pavlovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Lorenzo Carboni - Luka Pavlovic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.63) |
|
1.44
(1.44) |
7.9%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Carboni is ranked ATP: 564. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 216.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pavlovic could have a small edge in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Carboni won against Luka Pavlovic?
Lorenzo Carboni has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luka Pavlovic won against Lorenzo Carboni?
Luka Pavlovic has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Carboni - Luka Pavlovic were as follows:
Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
Latest results of Luka Pavlovic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Piraino G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Sachko V. | Bondioli F. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Durasovic V. | Campana Lee G. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Maestrelli F. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Nardi L. (3) | Purtseladze S. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ymer E. | Zeppieri G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Carboni L. (WC) | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Marti Pujolras A. (LL) | Daniel T. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Svrcina D. (5) | Rincon D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Tomic B. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Roca Batalla O. (Q) | Fatic N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Sakamoto R. | Lajovic D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Wawrinka S. (6) | Albot R. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Basile P. (Q) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cecchinato M. (LL) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arnaboldi F. | Picchione A. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Bondioli F. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Durasovic V. | Passaro F. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Nardi L. (3) | Ymer E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pavlovic L. | Daniel T. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Svrcina D. (5) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fatic N. | Lajovic D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Albot R. | Basile P. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Arnaboldi F. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Passaro F. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nardi L. (3) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Svrcina D. (5) | Fatic N. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Basile P. | Arnaboldi F. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Nardi L. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fatic N. | Basile P. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Pellegrino A. (9) | Fatic N. | 2 : 0 |
