Lorenzo Carboni vs Milos Karol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Trieste Challenger Men Lorenzo Carboni - Milos Karol
Result
2:1
06/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
510
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
61%57%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (43/56)63% (35/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (19/36)52% (22/42)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
39% (22/56)23% (13/56)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (20/42)47% (17/36)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)40% (2/5)
Winners
2431
Unforced Errors
3656
Net Points Won
82% (9/11)25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
67% (62/92)60% (56/94)
Return Points Won
40% (38/94)33% (30/92)
Total Points Won
54% (100/186)46% (86/186)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Carboni
45.3%
Milos Karol
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Lorenzo Carboni aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Milos Karol aligns with the current prediction.
  • Lorenzo Carboni - Milos Karol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.08)

    1.7
    (1.7)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carboni is ranked ATP: 535. Karol is ranked ATP: 375.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Carboni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Latest results of Milos Karol
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Nagal S. (Q)1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M. (WC)Mena F. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Ficovich J. P.Cina F. (WC)1 : 2
    4Mrva M. (Q)Basilashvili N. (6)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (3)Dodig M. (Q)0 : 2
    6Rodionov J.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (WC)1 : 1
    7Gomez F. A.Neumayer L.0 : 2
    8Collarini A. (Q)Gigante M. (7)2 : 0
    9Gaubas V. (8)Klein L.1 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Jacquet K.2 : 0
    11Sachko V.Kym J.2 : 1
    12Travaglia S. (SE)Boyer T. (4)2 : 0
    13Tirante T. A. (5)Rocha H.2 : 0
    14Blanchet U.Picchione A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Rodriguez Taverna S.Michalski D. (Q)2 : 0
    16Gea A. (NG)Barrios Vera T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nagal S.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Cina F.Mrva M.0 : 2
    3Dodig M.Rodionov J.2 : 0
    4Neumayer L.Collarini A.2 : 1
    5Klein L.Diaz Acosta F.0 : 2
    6Sachko V.Travaglia S.1 : 2
    7Tirante T. A. (5)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    8Rodriguez Taverna S.Barrios Vera T. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Nagal S.Mrva M.2 : 1
    2Dodig M.Neumayer L.2 : 0
    3Diaz Acosta F.Travaglia S.2 : 0
    4Tirante T. A. (5)Rodriguez Taverna S.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Nagal S.Dodig M.0 : 2
    2Diaz Acosta F.Tirante T. A. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Dodig M.Tirante T. A. (5)2 : 0