Lorenzo Carboni vs Milos Karol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Trieste Challenger Men Lorenzo Carboni - Milos Karol
Result
2:1
06/07/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Lorenzo Carboni - Milos Karol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
510
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
61%57%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (43/56)63% (35/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (19/36)52% (22/42)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
39% (22/56)23% (13/56)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (20/42)47% (17/36)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)40% (2/5)
Winners
2431
Unforced Errors
3656
Net Points Won
82% (9/11)25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
67% (62/92)60% (56/94)
Return Points Won
40% (38/94)33% (30/92)
Total Points Won
54% (100/186)46% (86/186)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
57% (17/30)43% (13/30)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Carboni
45.3%
Milos Karol
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Milos Karol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Lorenzo Carboni aligns with the current prediction.
  • The ML Model estimate for Milos Karol aligns with the current prediction.
  • Lorenzo Carboni - Milos Karol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.08)

    1.7
    (1.7)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carboni is ranked ATP: 535. Karol is ranked ATP: 375.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Carboni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Latest results of Milos Karol
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tseng C. H. (1)Nagal S. (Q)
    2Cecchinato M. (WC)Mena F. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Ficovich J. P.Cina F. (WC)
    4Mrva M. (Q)Basilashvili N. (6)
    5Svrcina D. (3)Dodig M. (Q)
    6Rodionov J.Zeppieri G. (WC)
    7Gomez F. A.Neumayer L.
    8Collarini A. (Q)Gigante M. (7)
    9Gaubas V. (8)Klein L.1 : 2
    10Diaz Acosta F.Jacquet K.2 : 0
    11Sachko V.Kym J.2 : 1
    12Travaglia S. (SE)Boyer T. (4)
    13Tirante T. A. (5)Rocha H.0 : 0
    14Blanchet U.Picchione A. (Q)
    15Rodriguez Taverna S.Michalski D. (Q)
    16Gea A. (NG)Barrios Vera T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1Cecchinato M.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Klein L.Diaz Acosta F.
    6Sachko V.TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15Barrios Vera T. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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