Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - Semi-finals
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Carboni
61.9% | Oleksandr Ovcharenko
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Carboni that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleksandr Ovcharenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lorenzo Carboni - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.56) |
|
2.56 ↑
(2.2) |
2.5%
(9.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Carboni - Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Carboni is ranked ATP: 563. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 378.
- In recent matches, Carboni has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ovcharenko is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ovcharenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Carboni will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Carboni won against Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Lorenzo Carboni has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oleksandr Ovcharenko won against Lorenzo Carboni?
Oleksandr Ovcharenko has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Carboni - Oleksandr Ovcharenko were as follows:
Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
Latest results of Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Vatutin A. (1) | Carboni L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Spiridon D. C. | D'Agostino S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ciavarella N. | Bocchi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Gerbaud T. | Fonio G. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ovcharenko O. (4) | Parenti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Oradini G. | Baragiola Mordini T. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Seghetti S. | Kivattsev K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Martin Manzano J. C. | Compagnucci T. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Feldbausch K. (5) | Bosio G. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Beraldo L. | Pennaforti G. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Crisostomo G. | Tabacco G. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Tabacco F. | Bertola R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Picchione A. (8) | Ortenzi G. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Forti F. | Perego G. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Cadenasso G. | Stella G. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Mencaglia S. | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Carboni L. | Spiridon D. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ciavarella N. | Fonio G. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ovcharenko O. (4) | Oradini G. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Kivattsev K. | Martin Manzano J. C. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Feldbausch K. (5) | Pennaforti G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tabacco G. | Bertola R. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Picchione A. (8) | Forti F. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cadenasso G. | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Carboni L. | Fonio G. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ovcharenko O. (4) | Martin Manzano J. C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Feldbausch K. (5) | Bertola R. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Forti F. | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Carboni L. | Ovcharenko O. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bertola R. (3) | Ambrogi L. E. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carboni L. | Bertola R. (3) | 2 : 1 |
