Lorenzo Carboni vs Yuta Shimizu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/02/2026 at 04:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
35
1st serve percentage
63%68%
1st serve points won
67% (29/43)77% (33/43)
2nd serve points won
36% (9/25)55% (11/20)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)80% (4/5)
1st return points won
23% (10/43)33% (14/43)
2nd return points won
45% (9/20)64% (16/25)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)38% (3/8)
Winners
921
Unforced errors
3333
Net points won
29% (2/7)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
56% (38/68)70% (44/63)
Return Points Won
30% (19/63)44% (30/68)
Total Points Won
44% (57/131)56% (74/131)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total games won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Carboni
51.6%
Yuta Shimizu
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Lorenzo Carboni - Yuta Shimizu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.85)

    1.91
    (1.83)
    8.4%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Carboni - Yuta Shimizu?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carboni will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Shimizu will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Carboni (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Shimizu (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 Games - Shimizu (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Carboni (votes: 2 - 50%). Shimizu (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carboni is ranked ATP: 428. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 360.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Latest results of Yuta Shimizu
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Ivashka I. (PR)1 : 2
    2Dhamne M. (WC)Sakellaridis S.
    3Ajdukovic D.Shin S.2 : 0
    4Bar Biryukov P.Ferreira Silva F. (5)0 : 2
    5Simakin I. (3)Leong M. W. K. (Q)
    6Gray A.Michalski D.2 : 1
    7Carboni L. (NG)Shimizu Y.0 : 2
    8Kumasaka T. (Q)Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    9Noguchi R. (7)Nagal S.
    10Geerts M.Gill F.1 : 2
    11Kasnikowski M. (Q)Singh K. (WC)
    12Huang T. (LL)Crawford O. (4)
    13Butvilas E. (8)Vishal Balsekar A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Wu Tung-Lin (Q)Binda A. (LL)2 : 0
    15Zhukayev B.Imamura M. (Q)
    16Takahashi Y. (Q)Clarke J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Ivashka I.TBD #2
    2Ajdukovic D.Ferreira Silva F. (5)
    3TBD #5Gray A.
    4Shimizu Y.Cina F. (6)
    5TBD #9Gill F.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7Butvilas E. (8)Wu Tung-Lin
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2