Result
2:1
27/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 64% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (48/71) | 69% (42/61) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 44% (15/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 50% (3/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 32% (23/71) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (19/34) | 41% (13/32) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 20% (2/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (66/101) | 60% (57/95) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (38/95) | 35% (35/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (104/196) | 47% (92/196) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (14/30) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Giustino
47.3% | Alastair Gray
52.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alastair Gray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alastair Gray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lorenzo Giustino - Alastair Gray Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.25) |
|
1.76 ↑
(1.57) |
7.3%
(8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Giustino - Alastair Gray?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Gray will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gray: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gray (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Giustino is ranked ATP: 299. Gray is ranked ATP: 379.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Giustino won against Alastair Gray?
Lorenzo Giustino has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alastair Gray won against Lorenzo Giustino?
Alastair Gray has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Giustino - Alastair Gray were as follows:
Latest results of Lorenzo Giustino
Latest results of Alastair Gray
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Simakin I. (1) | Robertson C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Henning P. | Glinka D. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Sasikumar M. (Q) | Ilkel C. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Bar Biryukov P. | Purtseladze S. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Yevseyev D. (3) | Wendelken H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Broom C. | Uchida K. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Imamura M. | Samrej K. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Hussey G. (Q) | Bertrand R. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Giustino L. (7) | Gray A. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Parker S. (Q) | Snitari I. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Samuel T. | Marmousez L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Berankis R. | Albot R. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Chidekh C. (8) | Pokorny L. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bakshi A. (RET.) (WC) | Pieczkowski O. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Gerasimov E. | Karlovskiy E. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Strombachs R. | Clarke J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Simakin I. (1) | Henning P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ilkel C. | Bar Biryukov P. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. (3) | Uchida K. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Imamura M. | Hussey G. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Giustino L. (7) | Parker S. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Samuel T. | Albot R. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Chidekh C. (8) | Pieczkowski O. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Karlovskiy E. | Strombachs R. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Simakin I. (1) | Bar Biryukov P. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Uchida K. | Hussey G. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Parker S. | Samuel T. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Chidekh C. (8) | Strombachs R. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Simakin I. (1) | Hussey G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Samuel T. | Chidekh C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Simakin I. (1) | Chidekh C. (8) | 0 : 2 |
