Giovanni Fonio vs Lorenzo Giustino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino
Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
35
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
70%69%
1st Serve Points Won
58% (28/48)79% (26/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (10/21)73% (11/15)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
21% (7/33)42% (20/48)
2nd Return Points Won
27% (4/15)52% (11/21)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)38% (3/8)
Service Points Won
55% (38/69)77% (37/48)
Return Points Won
23% (11/48)45% (31/69)
Total Points Won
42% (49/117)58% (68/117)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Giovanni Fonio
62.5%
Lorenzo Giustino
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giovanni Fonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giovanni Fonio's form might have worsened.
  • Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Giustino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.32)

    2.48
    (3.18)
    7.5%
    (7.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Fonio is ranked ATP: 370. Giustino is ranked ATP: 264.
    • Recent matches Fonio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Giustino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Fonio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fonio is a favorite.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Fonio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino were as follows:
    18.02.2024 Giovanni Fonio - Lorenzo Giustino 2:1
    29.01.2023 Lorenzo Giustino - Giovanni Fonio 2:0
    Latest results of Giovanni Fonio
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2