Lorenzo Giustino vs Kyrian Jacquet – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
62%68%
1st serve points won
75% (36/48)56% (30/54)
2nd serve points won
47% (14/30)56% (14/25)
Break Points Saved
2/44/8
1st return points won
44% (24/54)25% (12/48)
2nd return points won
44% (11/25)53% (16/30)
Break Points Converted
4/82/4
Winners
2822
Unforced errors
3137
Net points won
64% (9/14)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
64% (50/78)56% (44/79)
Return Points Won
44% (35/79)36% (28/78)
Total Points Won
54% (85/157)46% (72/157)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
83% (10/12)67% (8/12)
Return games won
33% (4/12)17% (2/12)
Total games won
58% (14/24)42% (10/24)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Giustino
28.3%
Kyrian Jacquet
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.
  • Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyrian Jacquet's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyrian Jacquet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.62)

    1.31
    (1.44)
    6.5%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Jacquet will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giustino (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Giustino is ranked ATP: 202. Jacquet is ranked ATP: 146.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Jacquet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Jacquet is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Giustino
    Latest results of Kyrian Jacquet
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2