Result
2:1
05/08/2025 at 07:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 44% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (37/56) | 68% (28/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 40% (21/52) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 50% (6/12) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (13/41) | 34% (19/56) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (31/52) | 55% (17/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 50% (4/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 23 | 52 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (12/24) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (51/87) | 53% (49/93) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (44/93) | 41% (36/87) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (95/180) | 47% (85/180) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (16/28) | 43% (12/28) |
Chances of winning
Max Alcala Gurri
54.9% | Lorenzo Giustino
45.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.87) |
|
2.06 ↑
(1.87) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcala Gurri (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Max Alcala Gurri will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 427. Giustino is ranked ATP: 298.
- Alcala Gurri is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Giustino is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alcala Gurri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alcala Gurri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Max Alcala Gurri won against Lorenzo Giustino?
Max Alcala Gurri has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Giustino won against Max Alcala Gurri?
Lorenzo Giustino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Max Alcala Gurri - Lorenzo Giustino were as follows:
02.05.2025
Max Alcala Gurri
-
Lorenzo Giustino
2:0
28.03.2024
Lorenzo Giustino
-
Max Alcala Gurri
2:0
Latest results of Max Alcala Gurri
Latest results of Lorenzo Giustino
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Bondioli F. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Alcala Gurri M. (Q) | Giustino L. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Bueno G. | Nijboer R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Torres J. B. | Clarke J. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Neumayer L. (4) | Kestelboim M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Piraino G. (WC) | Sels J. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Kicker N. (Q) | Prado Angelo J. C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Prihodko O. (Alt) | Travaglia S. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Coppejans K. (6) | Pereira T. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Arnaboldi F. | Stebe C. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | De Krom M. (LL) | Vacherot V. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Kolar Z. (Q) | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (5) | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Sanchez Jover C. | Vrbensky M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Caniato C. A. (WC) | Paulson A. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Dellien Velasco M. A. | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Alcala Gurri M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bueno G. | Clarke J. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Neumayer L. (4) | Piraino G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kicker N. | Prihodko O. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Pereira T. | Stebe C. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Vacherot V. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (5) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Caniato C. A. | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Bueno G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Neumayer L. (4) | Kicker N. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Stebe C. | Piros Z. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (5) | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Taberner C. (1) | Neumayer L. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Stebe C. | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Neumayer L. (4) | Lajovic D. (2) | 0 : 2 |
