Lorenzo Giustino vs Nick Hardt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Sabadell 2 Men Lorenzo Giustino - Nick Hardt
Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell 2, clay - Final

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Giustino
56.9%
Nick Hardt
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.
  • Nick Hardt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nick Hardt's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Giustino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nick Hardt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Giustino - Nick Hardt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.51)

    2.16
    (2.5)
    7.3%
    (6.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Giustino is ranked ATP: 281. Hardt is ranked ATP: 728.
    • Giustino is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hardt has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hardt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Giustino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Giustino will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Giustino
    27.09.2025 Lorenzo Giustino - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Alvarez Varona N. retired
    16.09.2025 Lorenzo Giustino - Max Alcala Gurri Giustino L. retired
    Latest results of Nick Hardt
    27.09.2025 Nick Hardt - Ivan Gakhov 2:1
    24.09.2025 Carles Cordoba - Nick Hardt Cordoba C. retired
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Mazza M.2 : 0
    2Santamarta Roig A.Lopez Montagud C.2 : 0
    3Demin Y.De Krom M.0 : 2
    4Jimenez A.Brancaccio R. (6)2 : 0
    5Alvarez Varona N. (3)Gadamauri B.2 : 0
    6Fernandez Flores D. (Q)Sperle J. (Q)0 : 2
    7Vives Marcos P.Milev Y.2 : 0
    8Curras Abasolo T. (Q)Marti Pujolras A. (8)2 : 1
    9Alcala Gurri M. (7)Perez Contri S.2 : 0
    10Cordoba C. (RET.) (Q)Hardt N.0 : 1
    11Javia D.Forti F. (Q)2 : 1
    12Gutierrez O. J. (Q)Sanchez Jover C. (4)1 : 2
    13Damas M. (5)Campana Lee G.2 : 0
    14Lopez Cherubino N. (Q)Cervantes Tomas L.2 : 0
    15Gavrielides L. (Q)Planella Hernandez S.1 : 2
    16Martinez A.Gakhov I. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Santamarta Roig A.2 : 0
    2De Krom M.Jimenez A.2 : 0
    3Alvarez Varona N. (3)Sperle J.2 : 0
    4Vives Marcos P.Curras Abasolo T.2 : 1
    5Alcala Gurri M. (7)Hardt N.0 : 2
    6Javia D.Sanchez Jover C. (4)0 : 2
    7Damas M. (5)Lopez Cherubino N.1 : 2
    8Planella Hernandez S.Gakhov I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)De Krom M.2 : 0
    2Alvarez Varona N. (3)Vives Marcos P.2 : 1
    3Hardt N.Sanchez Jover C. (4)2 : 0
    4Lopez Cherubino N.Gakhov I. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Alvarez Varona N. (RET.) (3)0 : 0
    2Hardt N.Gakhov I. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Giustino L. (1)Hardt N.1 : 2