Result
2:1
11/11/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin, hard
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 France | Eurosport 1 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Tennis |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (37/59) | 66% (48/73) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (23/31) | 59% (22/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 75% (9/12) |
| Average 1st Serve Speed |
|---|
| 200 km/h | 198 km/h |
| Average 2nd Serve Speed |
|---|
| 148 km/h | 164 km/h |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (25/73) | 37% (22/59) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 26% (8/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 40% (2/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 28 | 44 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 78% (25/32) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (60/90) | 64% (70/110) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (40/110) | 33% (30/90) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (100/200) | 50% (100/200) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 82% (14/17) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 13% (2/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 48% (16/33) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Musetti
31.4% | Alex De Minaur
68.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.34) |
|
1.42 ↓
(1.59) |
3.2%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 3 - 20%). De Minaur will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Minaur: 59.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 Sets - Musetti (1.79) (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, De Minaur is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Alex De Minaur?
Lorenzo Musetti has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Alex De Minaur has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
30.04.2025
Alex De Minaur
-
Lorenzo Musetti
0:2
12.04.2025
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Alex De Minaur
2:1
18.06.2024
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Alex De Minaur
2:1
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Draw
Singles - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ruud C. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zverev A. (2) | Fritz T. (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Fritz T. (5) | 2 : 0 |
