Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Stuttgart Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik
Result
Bublik A. retired
14/06/2024 at 11:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Stuttgart (Germany), grass - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 3
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport Docu
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
413
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
57%53%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (27/35)77% (24/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)37% (10/27)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)0% (0/3)
1st Return Points Won
29% (9/31)23% (8/35)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (17/27)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)25% (1/4)
Winners
2123
Unforced Errors
614
Net Points Won
72% (18/25)69% (9/13)
Max Points In Row
65
Service Points Won
67% (41/61)59% (34/58)
Return Points Won
41% (24/58)33% (20/61)
Total Points Won
55% (65/119)45% (54/119)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
61% (11/18)39% (7/18)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
34.6%
Alexander Bublik
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 56%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Musetti's form might have worsened.
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexander Bublik's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.18)

    1.46
    (1.67)
    4.9%
    (6%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (48 of 52 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 85.07%99.55%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Bublik is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Bublik will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
    11.01.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik 1:2
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Fognini F. (WC)Moutet C.1 : 2
    3Tien L.Nishioka Y. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Fearnley J.Nakashima B. (6)1 : 2
    5Shelton B. (3)Bye
    6Dzumhur D. (RET.)Herbert P. (Q)0 : 1
    7Arnaldi M.Struff J-L. (WC)0 : 2
    8Bonzi B.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    9Michelsen A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 1
    10Engel J. (WC)Duckworth J. (Q)2 : 1
    11Safiullin R.Mpetshi Perricard G.1 : 2
    12ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (4)
    13Shapovalov D. (5)Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    14Hanfmann Y. (Q)Fucsovics M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Halys Q.Sonego L.2 : 1
    16ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.2 : 0
    2Tien L.Nakashima B. (6)0 : 2
    3Shelton B. (3)Herbert P.2 : 0
    4Struff J-L.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    5Michelsen A. (7)Engel J.0 : 2
    6Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (4)0 : 2
    7Rinderknech A.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    8Halys Q.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Nakashima B. (6)2 : 0
    2Shelton B. (3)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    3Engel J.Auger-Aliassime F. (4)0 : 2
    4Fucsovics M.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Shelton B. (3)2 : 0
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zverev A. (1)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2