Result
0:2
11/01/2026 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | Eurosport 2 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 76% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 67% (31/46) | 78% (40/51) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 44% (7/16) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 67% (2/3) |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 191 km/h | 197 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 157 km/h | 158 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 24% (12/51) | 37% (17/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 44% (12/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 43% (3/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 68% (17/25) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (44/73) | 70% (47/67) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 40% (29/73) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (64/140) | 54% (76/140) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Lorenzo Musetti
47.4% | Alexander Bublik
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.1) |
|
1.8 ↑
(1.71) |
5.7%
(5.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Bublik will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bublik (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.
- Musetti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bublik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Bublik will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Alexander Bublik?
Lorenzo Musetti has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alexander Bublik won against Lorenzo Musetti?
Alexander Bublik has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik were as follows:
14.06.2024
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Alexander Bublik
Bublik A. retired
11.01.2024
Lorenzo Musetti
-
Alexander Bublik
1:2
Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
Latest results of Alexander Bublik
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Wong C. (WC) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Diallo G. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Wu Y. (WC) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Cilic M. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Dzumhur D. | Borges N. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Muller A. (7) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Djere L. (Q) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Tabilo A. (Q) | Mmoh M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Khachanov K. (4) | |
| 13 | Sonego L. (5) | Sakamoto R. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Shang J. (WC) | Comesana F. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Struff J-L. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Bublik A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wong C. | Diallo G. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Rublev A. (3) | Wu Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Cilic M. | Borges N. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Muller A. (7) | Giron M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Mmoh M. | Khachanov K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sonego L. (5) | Shang J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Wong C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rublev A. (3) | Borges N. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Giron M. | Mmoh M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shang J. | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Rublev A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Giron M. | Bublik A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Musetti L. (1) | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
