Lorenzo Musetti vs Christopher OConnell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Chengdu Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell
Result
2:1
21/09/2024 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
76
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
76%68%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (61/81)79% (56/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (11/26)45% (15/33)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
21% (15/71)26% (21/81)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (18/33)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)100% (3/3)
Winners
3328
Unforced Errors
3945
Net Points Won
53% (9/17)107% (29/27)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
67% (72/107)68% (70/103)
Return Points Won
32% (33/103)33% (35/107)
Total Points Won
50% (105/210)50% (105/210)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)76% (13/17)
Return Games Won
24% (4/17)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
58.7%
Christopher OConnell
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Musetti's form might have worsened.
  • Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christopher OConnell's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christopher OConnell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.43)

    2.3
    (2.77)
    5.1%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 3 - 60%). OConnell will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti is ranked ATP: 19. OConnell is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Recent matches Musetti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • OConnell in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • OConnell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Musetti will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Latest results of Christopher OConnell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Kotov P.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    3Zhou Y. (WC)Tseng C. H. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Atmane T. (Q)Mannarino A. (5)1 : 2
    5Jarry N. (3)Bye
    6Walton A.Klein L.0 : 2
    7Kachmazov A. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    8Daniel T.Sonego L. (6)2 : 0
    9Mpetshi Perricard G. (7)Sun F. (WC)2 : 1
    10Hanfmann Y.Mochizuki S. (Q)2 : 0
    11Vukic A.Coric B.2 : 1
    12ByeMartinez P.
    13Safiullin R. (8)Fognini F.2 : 1
    14Shang J.Nishikori K. (WC)2 : 0
    15Muller A.Gomez F. A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeBublik A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)O'Connell C.2 : 1
    2Zhou Y.Mannarino A. (5)1 : 2
    3Jarry N. (3)Klein L.2 : 1
    4Kachmazov A.Daniel T.2 : 0
    5Mpetshi Perricard G. (7)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    6Vukic A.Martinez P.0 : 2
    7Safiullin R. (8)Shang J.1 : 2
    8Gomez F. A.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Mannarino A. (5)2 : 1
    2Jarry N. (3)Kachmazov A.0 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y.Martinez P.2 : 0
    4Shang J.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Kachmazov A.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Shang J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (1)Shang J.0 : 2