Lorenzo Musetti vs Christopher OConnell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Chengdu Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell
Result
2:1
21/09/2024 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu (China), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
76
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
76%68%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (61/81)79% (56/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (11/26)45% (15/33)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
21% (15/71)26% (21/81)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (18/33)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)100% (3/3)
Winners
3328
Unforced Errors
3945
Net Points Won
53% (9/17)107% (29/27)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
67% (72/107)68% (70/103)
Return Points Won
32% (33/103)33% (35/107)
Total Points Won
50% (105/210)50% (105/210)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
82% (14/17)76% (13/17)
Return Games Won
24% (4/17)18% (3/17)
Total Games Won
53% (18/34)47% (16/34)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
58.7%
Christopher OConnell
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Musetti's form might have worsened.
  • Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christopher OConnell's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christopher OConnell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.43)

    2.3
    (2.77)
    5.1%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Christopher OConnell?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 3 - 60%). OConnell will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti is ranked ATP: 19. OConnell is ranked ATP: 75.
    • Recent matches Musetti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • OConnell in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • OConnell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Musetti will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Latest results of Christopher OConnell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Prizmic D. (NG)0 : 2
    3McDonald M. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4Basilashvili N. (Q)Harris B. (LL)2 : 0
    5Griekspoor T. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T. (Q)Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Monfils G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Misolic F.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)1 : 2
    9Sonego L. (8)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    10Giron M.Quinn E.2 : 0
    11Bergs Z.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Norrie C. (5)Zhou Y. (WC)1 : 2
    14Halys Q.O'Connell C.1 : 2
    15Thompson J.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    2McDonald M.Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (3)Daniel T.1 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)2 : 1
    5Sonego L. (8)Giron M.0 : 2
    6Shang J.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Zhou Y.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 0
    2Daniel T.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    3Giron M.Nakashima B. (4)1 : 2
    4O'Connell C.Tabilo A.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tabilo A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (1)Tabilo A.1 : 2