Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Lorenzo Musetti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti
Result
1:2
26/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
144
Double Faults
12
1st Serve Percentage
74%66%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (59/73)78% (57/73)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)63% (24/38)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
32% (23/73)21% (15/73)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (14/38)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)40% (2/5)
Winners
3820
Unforced Errors
1411
Net Points Won
63% (12/19)73% (11/15)
Service Points Won
73% (72/98)73% (81/111)
Return Points Won
27% (30/111)27% (26/98)
Total Points Won
49% (102/209)51% (107/209)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (15/17)94% (16/17)
Return Games Won
6% (1/17)12% (2/17)
Total Games Won
47% (16/34)53% (18/34)

Chances of winning


Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
28.5%
Lorenzo Musetti
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 68.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.77)

    1.34
    (1.37)
    4.7%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). Musetti will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 47.1%83.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Musetti (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 36. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Musetti is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:
    26.08.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 3:1
    08.07.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 3:1
    11.06.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 2:0
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Cilic M.2 : 0
    2Atmane T. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)2 : 0
    3Bonzi B.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    4Muller A.Khachanov K. (5)2 : 1
    5De Minaur A. (3)Bu Y. (WC)2 : 0
    6Goffin D. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)1 : 2
    7Shang J. (WC)Cazaux A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Kecmanovic M.Mensik J. (7)0 : 2
    9Rublev A. (6)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Cerundolo F.2 : 1
    11Mannarino A. (Q)Bublik A.2 : 0
    12Mpetshi Perricard G.Musetti L. (4)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (8)Norrie C.2 : 0
    14Davidovich Fokina A.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    15Moutet C.Griekspoor T.2 : 0
    16Sonego L.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Atmane T.2 : 1
    2Marozsan F.Muller A.2 : 0
    3De Minaur A. (3)Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    4Cazaux A.Mensik J. (7)1 : 2
    5Cobolli F.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Mannarino A.Musetti L. (4)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (8)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    2De Minaur A. (3)Mensik J. (RET.) (7)0 : 0
    3Tien L.Musetti L. (RET.) (4)1 : 1
    4Medvedev D. (8)Zverev A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)De Minaur A. (3)2 : 1
    2Tien L.Medvedev D. (RET.) (8)1 : 1

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Tien L.2 : 0