Lorenzo Musetti vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/04/2023 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: MARRAKECH (MOROCCO), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
62.8%
Hugo Gaston
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Musetti's performance.
  • Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Musetti that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.67)

    2.58
    (2.2)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Hugo Gaston?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 9 - 22%). Gaston will win (votes: 32 - 78%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 65.3%90.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Gaston is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Musetti will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Gaston to win the game is with odds 2.41.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Musetti won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2