Luciano Darderi vs Lorenzo Musetti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	11
Double Faults
2	2
1st Serve Percentage
63%	72%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (37/49)	68% (43/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
31% (9/29)	54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
63% (5/8)	75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
32% (20/63)	24% (12/49)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (11/24)	69% (20/29)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)	38% (3/8)
Winners
19	39
Unforced Errors
14	9
Net Points Won
70% (23/33)	71% (17/24)
Service Points Won
60% (46/77)	64% (56/87)
Return Points Won
36% (31/87)	40% (31/77)
Total Points Won
47% (77/164)	53% (87/164)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)	83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)	25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)	54% (13/24)

Chances of winning

Luciano Darderi
22.3%

Lorenzo Musetti
77.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

74.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.65)		1.23 ↑ (1.22)	5.1% (9.4%)

What is the prediction for Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Musetti will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 55.2% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Musetti (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Darderi is ranked ATP: 29. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.
In recent matches, Darderi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Musetti is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Musetti is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Darderi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Luciano Darderi won against Lorenzo Musetti?

Luciano Darderi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Musetti won against Luciano Darderi?

Lorenzo Musetti has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti were as follows:

04.07.2024 Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti 2:3

18.05.2024 Lorenzo Musetti - Luciano Darderi 2:0

Latest results of Luciano Darderi

04.10.2025 Luciano Darderi - Bu Yunchaokete 2:0 ✺

26.09.2025 Jenson Brooksby - Luciano Darderi 2:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi 0:2 ✺

19.09.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi 2:0 ✺

07.09.2025 Luciano Darderi - Andrea Pellegrino 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti

04.10.2025 Francisco Comesana - Lorenzo Musetti 0:2 ✺

29.09.2025 Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti Musetti L. retired ✺

28.09.2025 Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Musetti 0:2 ✺

26.09.2025 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti 1:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Lorenzo Musetti - Alejandro Tabilo 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2

Final

1

Rinderknech A.

Vacherot V.

1 : 2