Lorenzo Musetti vs Nikoloz Basilashvili – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Chengdu Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
73
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
66%50%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (27/35)63% (19/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (9/18)47% (14/30)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
37% (11/30)37% (13/35)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (16/30)50% (9/18)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)25% (1/4)
Winners
614
Unforced Errors
615
Net Points Won
0% (0/2)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
68% (36/53)56% (32/57)
Return Points Won
44% (25/57)32% (17/53)
Total Points Won
55% (61/110)45% (49/110)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
72.9%
Nikoloz Basilashvili
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.1% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.35)

    3.53
    (3.31)
    4.5%
    (4.6%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Basilashvili: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti is ranked ATP: 9. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 114.
    • Musetti is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Basilashvili is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Musetti is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili were as follows:
    01.07.2025 Nikoloz Basilashvili - Lorenzo Musetti 3:1
    02.11.2022 Lorenzo Musetti - Nikoloz Basilashvili 2:0
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Latest results of Nikoloz Basilashvili
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Prizmic D. (NG)0 : 2
    3McDonald M. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4Basilashvili N. (Q)Harris B. (LL)2 : 0
    5Griekspoor T. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T. (Q)Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Monfils G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Misolic F.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)1 : 2
    9Sonego L. (8)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    10Giron M.Quinn E.2 : 0
    11Bergs Z.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Norrie C. (5)Zhou Y. (WC)1 : 2
    14Halys Q.O'Connell C.1 : 2
    15Thompson J.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    2McDonald M.Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (3)Daniel T.1 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)2 : 1
    5Sonego L. (8)Giron M.0 : 2
    6Shang J.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Zhou Y.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 0
    2Daniel T.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    3Giron M.Nakashima B. (4)1 : 2
    4O'Connell C.Tabilo A.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tabilo A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (1)Tabilo A.1 : 2