Lorenzo Rottoli vs Luca Potenza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 09:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
73%58%
1st serve points won
65% (47/72)68% (39/57)
2nd serve points won
46% (12/26)48% (20/42)
Break Points Saved
2/65/10
1st return points won
32% (18/57)35% (25/72)
2nd return points won
52% (22/42)54% (14/26)
Break Points Converted
5/104/6
Winners
2327
Unforced errors
4754
Net points won
55% (6/11)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
60% (59/98)60% (59/99)
Return Points Won
40% (40/99)40% (39/98)
Total Points Won
50% (99/197)50% (98/197)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
75% (12/16)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)25% (4/16)
Total games won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Rottoli
48.8%
Luca Potenza
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 60.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Rottoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Rottoli's performance.
  • Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Rottoli than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Rottoli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorenzo Rottoli - Luca Potenza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.32)

    1.82
    (1.54)
    7.4%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Rottoli is ranked ATP: 784. Potenza is ranked ATP: 426.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rottoli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rottoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Rottoli - Luca Potenza were as follows:
    13.05.2024 Lorenzo Rottoli - Luca Potenza 2:1
    Latest results of Lorenzo Rottoli
    Latest results of Luca Potenza
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Damas M.2 : 0
    2Guerrieri A. (LL)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    3Kukushkin M.Dalla Valle E. (Q)1 : 2
    4Giustino L.Jacquet K. (7)2 : 1
    5Wawrinka S. (4)Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Purtseladze S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Nagal S.Squire H.2 : 1
    8Bondioli F. (Q)Blanchet U. (8)2 : 0
    9Medjedovic H. (5)Barton H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Sakellaridis S.Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)2 : 1
    11Caniato C. A. (WC)Vasami J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Paul J. (Q)Muller A. (3)0 : 2
    13Pellegrino A. (6)Jianu F. C.2 : 0
    14Blancaneaux G.Sachko V.0 : 2
    15Cina F.Piraino G. (Alt)2 : 0
    16Forti F. (Q)Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Guerrieri A.2 : 1
    2Dalla Valle E.Giustino L.2 : 1
    3Martineau M.Ribecai M.1 : 2
    4Nagal S.Bondioli F.1 : 2
    5Medjedovic H. (5)Sakellaridis S.2 : 1
    6Caniato C. A.Muller A. (3)1 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (6)Sachko V.1 : 2
    8Cina F.Forti F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Dalla Valle E.2 : 0
    2Ribecai M.Bondioli F.0 : 2
    3Medjedovic H. (5)Muller A. (3)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Cina F.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bondioli F.2 : 1
    2Medjedovic H. (5)Sachko V.2 : 0

    Final
    1Altmaier D. (1)Medjedovic H. (5)0 : 2