Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Sonego: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Wimbledon Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego
Result
2:3
05/07/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/16-finals
Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
1616
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
73%76%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (107/147)71% (102/144)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (32/54)67% (30/45)
Break Points Saved
83% (10/12)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
29% (42/144)28% (41/147)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (15/45)41% (22/54)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)17% (2/12)
Winners
5675
Unforced Errors
4452
Net Points Won
45% (23/51)59% (45/76)
Service Points Won
69% (138/199)70% (131/188)
Return Points Won
30% (57/188)31% (61/199)
Total Points Won
50% (195/387)50% (192/387)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (27/29)89% (25/28)
Return Games Won
11% (3/28)7% (2/29)
Total Games Won
53% (30/57)47% (27/57)
Distance Covered (metres)
64676444

Chances of winning


Brandon Nakashima
62.9%
Lorenzo Sonego
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.57)

    2.57
    (2.62)
    4.5%
    (1.9%)
    What is the prediction for Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Sonego will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 49.9%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nakashima (votes: 2 - 50%). Sonego (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nakashima is ranked ATP: 34. Sonego is ranked ATP: 47.
    • Nakashima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sonego has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nakashima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nakashima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brandon Nakashima - Lorenzo Sonego were as follows:
    30.12.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Brandon Nakashima 2:0
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Nardi L.3 : 0
    2Tseng C. H.Vukic A.1 : 3
    3Martinez P.Loffhagen G. (WC)3 : 1
    4Navone M.Shapovalov D. (27)3 : 1
    5Dimitrov G. (19)Nishioka Y.3 : 0
    6Comesana F.Moutet C.0 : 3
    7Ofner S.Medjedovic H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Monday J. (WC)Paul T. (13)0 : 3
    9Shelton B. (10)Bolt A. (Q)3 : 0
    10Hijikata R.Goffin D.3 : 0
    11Kovacevic A.Fucsovics M. (LL)2 : 3
    12Monfils G.Humbert U. (18)3 : 2
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bu Y.3 : 1
    14Shevchenko A.Opelka R.0 : 3
    15Faria J. (Q)Sonego L.0 : 3
    16Basilashvili N. (Q)Musetti L. (7)3 : 1
    17Draper J. (4)Baez S. (RET.)2 : 0
    18Collignon R.Cilic M.0 : 3
    19McCabe J. (Q)Marozsan F.0 : 3
    20Munar J.Bublik A. (28)3 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (22)Zhukayev B. (Q)3 : 0
    22Etcheverry T. M.Pinnington Jones J. (WC)0 : 3
    23Giron M.Ugo Carabelli C.3 : 0
    24Gaston H.Mensik J. (15)1 : 3
    25De Minaur A. (11)Carballes Baena R.3 : 0
    26Cazaux A. (Q)Walton A.3 : 2
    27Halys Q.Holmgren A. (Q)0 : 3
    28Dzumhur D.Machac T. (21)0 : 3
    29Michelsen A. (30)Kecmanovic M.2 : 3
    30De Jong J.Eubanks C.3 : 2
    31Evans D. (WC)Clarke J. (WC)3 : 0
    32Muller A.Djokovic N. (6)1 : 3
    33Fritz T. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G.3 : 2
    34Diallo G.Altmaier D.3 : 0
    35Arnaldi M.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 3
    36Holt B.Davidovich Fokina A. (26)0 : 3
    37Popyrin A. (20)Fery A. (WC)1 : 3
    38Darderi L.Safiullin R.3 : 2
    39Kopriva V.Thompson J.2 : 3
    40Bonzi B.Medvedev D. (9)3 : 1
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Borges N.1 : 3
    42Harris B.Lajovic D. (LL)3 : 0
    43Mochizuki S. (Q)Zeppieri G. (Q)3 : 2
    44McDonald M.Khachanov K. (17)0 : 3
    45Berrettini M. (32)Majchrzak K.2 : 3
    46Quinn E.Searle H. (WC)3 : 1
    47Garin C. (LL)Rodesch C. (Q)3 : 0
    48Rinderknech A.Zverev A. (3)3 : 2
    49Rune H. (8)Jarry N. (Q)2 : 3
    50Tien L.Basavareddy N.3 : 0
    51Fearnley J.Fonseca J.0 : 3
    52Brooksby J.Griekspoor T. (31)3 : 0
    53Lehecka J. (23)Dellien H.3 : 1
    54Bellucci M.Crawford O. (WC)3 : 1
    55Norrie C.Bautista-Agut R.3 : 1
    56Moller E.Tiafoe F. (12)0 : 3
    57Rublev A. (14)Djere L.3 : 1
    58Bergs Z.Harris L.1 : 3
    59Mannarino A. (Q)O'Connell C.3 : 0
    60Royer V. (Q)Tsitsipas S. (RET.) (24)2 : 0
    61Auger-Aliassime F. (25)Duckworth J.3 : 2
    62Struff J-L.Misolic F. (Q)3 : 1
    63Tarvet O. (Q)Riedi L. (Q)3 : 0
    64Fognini F.Alcaraz C. (2)2 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Vukic A.3 : 0
    2Martinez P.Navone M.3 : 0
    3Dimitrov G. (19)Moutet C.3 : 1
    4Ofner S.Paul T. (13)3 : 1
    5Shelton B. (10)Hijikata R.3 : 0
    6Fucsovics M.Monfils G.3 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (29)Opelka R.3 : 1
    8Sonego L.Basilashvili N.3 : 1
    9Draper J. (4)Cilic M.1 : 3
    10Marozsan F.Munar J.0 : 3
    11Cobolli F. (22)Pinnington Jones J.3 : 0
    12Giron M.Mensik J. (15)1 : 3
    13De Minaur A. (11)Cazaux A.3 : 1
    14Holmgren A.Machac T. (21)3 : 2
    15Kecmanovic M.De Jong J.3 : 1
    16Evans D.Djokovic N. (6)0 : 3
    17Fritz T. (5)Diallo G.3 : 2
    18Van De Zandschulp B.Davidovich Fokina A. (26)1 : 3
    19Fery A.Darderi L.0 : 3
    20Thompson J.Bonzi B.3 : 2
    21Borges N.Harris B.3 : 0
    22Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (17)2 : 3
    23Majchrzak K.Quinn E.3 : 0
    24Garin C.Rinderknech A.2 : 3
    25Jarry N.Tien L.3 : 0
    26Fonseca J.Brooksby J.3 : 1
    27Lehecka J. (23)Bellucci M.0 : 3
    28Norrie C.Tiafoe F. (12)3 : 1
    29Rublev A. (14)Harris L.3 : 1
    30Mannarino A.Royer V.3 : 1
    31Auger-Aliassime F. (25)Struff J-L.1 : 3
    32Tarvet O.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Martinez P.3 : 0
    2Dimitrov G. (19)Ofner S.3 : 0
    3Shelton B. (10)Fucsovics M.3 : 0
    4Nakashima B. (29)Sonego L.2 : 3
    5Cilic M.Munar J.3 : 1
    6Cobolli F. (22)Mensik J. (15)3 : 0
    7De Minaur A. (11)Holmgren A.3 : 0
    8Kecmanovic M.Djokovic N. (6)0 : 3
    9Fritz T. (5)Davidovich Fokina A. (26)3 : 1
    10Darderi L.Thompson J.1 : 3
    11Borges N.Khachanov K. (17)2 : 3
    12Majchrzak K.Rinderknech A.3 : 0
    13Jarry N.Fonseca J.3 : 1
    14Bellucci M.Norrie C.0 : 3
    15Rublev A. (14)Mannarino A.3 : 0
    16Struff J-L.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Dimitrov G. (19)
    2Shelton B. (10)Sonego L.
    3Cilic M.Cobolli F. (22)
    4De Minaur A. (11)Djokovic N. (6)
    5Fritz T. (5)Thompson J.
    6Khachanov K. (17)Majchrzak K.
    7Jarry N.Norrie C.
    8Rublev A. (14)Alcaraz C. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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