Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Paris Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego
Result
1:2
29/10/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
40
1st Serve Percentage
61%57%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (34/43)75% (30/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (11/27)67% (20/30)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)75% (3/4)
1st Return Points Won
25% (10/40)21% (9/43)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (10/30)59% (16/27)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)80% (4/5)
Winners
1719
Unforced Errors
158
Net Points Won
111% (21/19)63% (17/27)
Service Points Won
64% (45/70)71% (50/70)
Return Points Won
29% (20/70)36% (25/70)
Total Points Won
46% (65/140)54% (75/140)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
40% (10/25)60% (15/25)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Musetti
72%
Lorenzo Sonego
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.32
(1.39)

3.36
(2.89)
5.5%
(6.5%)
What is the prediction for Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Sonego will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 71.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Musetti (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Musetti is ranked ATP: 8. Sonego is ranked ATP: 45.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Musetti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Musetti is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti 0:2
    Latest results of Lorenzo Musetti
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Norrie C.Baez S.2 : 0
    3Marozsan F.Rinderknech A. (WC)0 : 2
    4Vacherot V. (WC)Lehecka J. (14)2 : 0
    5Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    6Muller A.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    7Altmaier D.Giron M.2 : 0
    8ByeRuud C. (8)
    9Fritz T. (4)Bye
    10Vukic A. (Q)Atmane T. (WC)2 : 1
    11Moutet C.Opelka R. (LL)2 : 1
    12Popyrin A.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (10)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    14Shapovalov D.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    15Griekspoor T.Diallo G.0 : 2
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Musetti L. (7)Bye
    18Sonego L.Korda S. (Q)2 : 0
    19Mpetshi Perricard G.Dimitrov G.0 : 2
    20Munar J.Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Royer V. (LL)2 : 1
    22Darderi L.Cazaux A. (WC)0 : 2
    23Etcheverry T. M. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.0 : 2
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Shelton B. (5)Bye
    26Cobolli F.Machac T.2 : 0
    27Tien L.Borges N.2 : 0
    28Fearnley J. (Q)Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F.Dzumhur D. (Q)2 : 0
    30Kovacevic A. (LL)Kecmanovic M.1 : 2
    31Michelsen A.Bergs Z.1 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C.1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A.Vacherot V.1 : 2
    3Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    4Altmaier D.Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Fritz T. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    6Moutet C.Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Diallo G.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (7)Sonego L.1 : 2
    10Dimitrov G.Medvedev D. (WO.) (11)
    11Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Cazaux A.2 : 0
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (5)Cobolli F.2 : 0
    14Tien L.Rublev A. (12)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Norrie C.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    2Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    3Fritz T. (4)Bublik A. (13)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (10)De Minaur A. (6)0 : 2
    5Sonego L.Medvedev D. (11)1 : 2
    6Davidovich Fokina A. (15)Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Shelton B. (5)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    8Cerundolo F.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vacherot V.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)0 : 2
    2Bublik A. (13)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 1
    3Medvedev D. (11)Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Shelton B. (5)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Bublik A. (13)2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (9)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2