Nicolas Jarry vs Lorenzo Sonego – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - 1/32-finals

Match Stats


Aces
7	9
Double Faults
2	1
1st Serve Percentage
64%	66%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (36/47)	83% (29/35)
2nd Serve Points Won
73% (19/26)	67% (12/18)
Break Points Saved
100% (8/8)	50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
20% (7/35)	28% (13/47)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (6/18)	27% (7/26)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)	0% (0/8)
Winners
22	19
Unforced Errors
21	24
Net Points Won
62% (13/21)	90% (9/10)
Service Points Won
75% (55/73)	77% (41/53)
Return Points Won
23% (12/53)	25% (18/73)
Total Points Won
53% (67/126)	47% (59/126)
Last 10 Balls
5	5
Match Points Saved
0	1
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)	90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)	0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)	43% (9/21)

Chances of winning

Nicolas Jarry
39.7%

Lorenzo Sonego
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Jarry's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Sonego's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nicolas Jarry - Lorenzo Sonego Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.04)		1.58 ↓ (1.77)	4.9% (5.7%)

What is the prediction for Nicolas Jarry - Lorenzo Sonego?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 35% – 88%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Jarry is ranked ATP: 34. Sonego is ranked ATP: 49.
Jarry is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Sonego is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Sonego will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Jarry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Jarry won against Lorenzo Sonego?

Nicolas Jarry has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lorenzo Sonego won against Nicolas Jarry?

Lorenzo Sonego has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nicolas Jarry - Lorenzo Sonego were as follows:

09.10.2023 Lorenzo Sonego - Nicolas Jarry 0:2

15.09.2023 Lorenzo Sonego - Nicolas Jarry 2:1

Latest results of Nicolas Jarry

22.10.2024 Nicolas Jarry - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune 0:2 ✺

17.10.2024 Miomir Kecmanovic - Nicolas Jarry 2:1 ✺

15.10.2024 Elias Ymer - Nicolas Jarry 1:2 ✺

04.10.2024 Yibing Wu - Nicolas Jarry 2:0 ✺

26.09.2024 Jannik Sinner - Nicolas Jarry 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego

27.10.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Carballes Baena 2:0 ✺

26.10.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Botic Van De Zandschulp 2:1 ✺

22.10.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti 0:2 ✺

16.10.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺

14.10.2024 Marc-Andrea Huesler - Lorenzo Sonego 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Cazaux A. (LL)	Bye
2	Shelton B.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
3	Fognini F. (Q)	Bublik A.	0 : 2
4	Arnaldi M.	Rune H. (13)	0 : 2
5	De Minaur A. (9)	Navone M.	2 : 0
6	Baez S.	Kecmanovic M. (LL)	1 : 2
7	Draper J.	Lehecka J.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Fritz T. (5)
9	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
10	Darderi L.	Griekspoor T.	0 : 2
11	Fils A.	Cilic M. (PR)	2 : 0
12	Struff J-L.	Musetti L. (16)	2 : 0
13	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Carballes Baena R. (LL)	2 : 1
14	Borges N.	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
15	Halys Q. (Q)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Rublev A. (6)
17	Dimitrov G. (8)	Bye
18	Etcheverry T. M.	Zhang Z.	2 : 0
19	Machac T. (RET.)	Rinderknech A. (WC)	1 : 0
20	Michelsen A.	Hurkacz H. (12)	2 : 0
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (WC)	1 : 2
22	Khachanov K.	O'Connell C. (LL)	2 : 1
23	Popyrin A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Medvedev D. (4)
25	Ruud C. (7)	Bye
26	Thompson J.	Martinez P. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Bergs Z. (LL)	Gasquet R. (WC)	2 : 0
28	Mannarino A. (WC)	Paul T. (11)	2 : 0
29	Humbert U. (15)	Nakashima B.	2 : 1
30	Shang J. (Q)	Giron M. (Q)	0 : 2
31	Jarry N.	Sonego L. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Cazaux A. (LL)	Shelton B.	2 : 0
2	Bublik A.	Rune H. (13)	0 : 2
3	De Minaur A. (9)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 0
4	Draper J.	Fritz T. (5)	2 : 1
5	Zverev A. (3)	Griekspoor T.	2 : 0
6	Fils A.	Struff J-L.	2 : 0
7	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
8	Cerundolo F.	Rublev A. (6)	2 : 0
9	Dimitrov G. (8)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 1
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A.	2 : 0
11	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Khachanov K.	1 : 2
12	Popyrin A.	Medvedev D. (4)	2 : 1
13	Ruud C. (7)	Thompson J.	1 : 2
14	Bergs Z.	Mannarino A.	1 : 2
15	Humbert U. (15)	Giron M.	2 : 0
16	Jarry N.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Cazaux A.	Rune H. (13)	1 : 2
2	De Minaur A. (9)	Draper J.	2 : 1
3	Zverev A. (3)	Fils A.	2 : 1
4	Tsitsipas S. (10)	Cerundolo F.	2 : 1
5	Dimitrov G. (8)	Rinderknech A.	2 : 1
6	Khachanov K.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
7	Thompson J.	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
8	Humbert U. (15)	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Rune H. (13)	De Minaur A. (9)	2 : 1
2	Zverev A. (3)	Tsitsipas S. (10)	2 : 0
3	Dimitrov G. (8)	Khachanov K.	0 : 2
4	Thompson J.	Humbert U. (15)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Rune H. (13)	Zverev A. (3)	0 : 2
2	Khachanov K.	Humbert U. (15)	1 : 2

Final

1

Zverev A. (3)

Humbert U. (15)

2 : 0