Lorenzo Sonego vs Pedro Martinez Portero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
70
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
61%77%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (41/53)71% (36/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (12/34)47% (7/15)
Break Points Saved
73% (8/11)33% (1/3)
Average 1st Serve Speed
197 km/h169 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
162 km/h137 km/h
1st Return Points Won
31% (16/51)23% (12/53)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (8/15)65% (22/34)
Break Points Converted
67% (2/3)27% (3/11)
Winners
3216
Unforced Errors
4719
Net Points Won
56% (10/18)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
61% (53/87)65% (43/66)
Return Points Won
35% (23/66)39% (34/87)
Total Points Won
50% (76/153)50% (77/153)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
48% (12/25)52% (13/25)

Chances of winning


Lorenzo Sonego
63.3%
Pedro Martinez Portero
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Sonego's performance.
  • Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Sonego that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.73)

    2.59
    (2.1)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Lorenzo Sonego - Pedro Martinez Portero?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3 Games - Sonego (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lorenzo Sonego will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Sonego (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Martinez Portero (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sonego is ranked ATP: 38. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 47.
    • Both players are in bad shape now.
    • Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sonego will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lorenzo Sonego
    Latest results of Pedro Martinez Portero
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12TBD #23Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2