Result
1:7
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/364) | 87% (467/537) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 2.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 4.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/364) | 87% (467/537) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 57% (17/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (73/92) | 74% (120/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.70 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Katseris P. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 28', Avom A. 🟨,
- 37', Faye A. 🟨,
- 40', Fernandez-Pardo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 7)
- 46', Broholm M. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
- 46', 0 - 1, Perraud R. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
- 53', 0 - 2, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
- 59', Andre B. 🟨,
- 64', Soumano S. (Pen),
- 64', 1 - 2, Tosin A. ⚽, Soumano S. (A),
- 68', Tosin A. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
- 68', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 69', Perraud R. 🟨,
- 73', Abergel L. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 3, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 4, Igamane H. ⚽,
- 82', Avom A. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
- 82', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
- 82', Correia F. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 85', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 85', Meunier T. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 5, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Perraud R. (A),
- 88', Bouaddi A. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 6, Igamane H. ⚽, Andre B. (A),
- 90+5', 1 - 7, Sahraoui O. ⚽, Ozer B. (A),
Chances of winning
Lorient
14.6% | Draw
23% | Lille
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lille's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+14.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-19.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lorient - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.43 ↑
(3.27) |
5.73 ↑
(3.48) |
1.97 ↓
(2.21) |
-21.3%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lorient - Lille?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Lille will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 28.1% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Lorient has had a series of away games.
- Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Pagis P.
(Calf Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Gomes A.
(Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mukau N.
(Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Sahraoui O.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Lille?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lorient?
Lille has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Lille were as follows:
14.01.2024
Lille
-
Lorient
3:0
27.08.2023
Lorient
-
Lille
4:1
02.04.2023
Lille
-
Lorient
3:1
02.10.2022
Lorient
-
Lille
2:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
