Result
1:1
08/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/529) | 85% (334/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/529) | 85% (334/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 76% (41/54) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (145/187) | 82% (49/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 100% (13/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.74 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Perrin G. 🟨,
- 32', Ozer B. 🟨,
- 32', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Meite B. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 0, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Bentaleb N. (A),
- 66', Makengo J. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
- 66', Tosin A. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
- 73', Santos T. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 74', Perrin G. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 74', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
- 74', Kouassi A. ↓, Yongwa D. ↑,
- 74', Katseris P. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
- 80', Karim D. ↓, Semedo D. ↑,
- 88', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 88', Haraldsson H. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
- 90+1', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Avom A. ⚽, Meite B. (A),
Chances of winning
Lille
61.4% | Draw
23% | Lorient
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2%)
Lille - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.6) |
4.15 ↑
(4.09) |
6.1 ↑
(5.25) |
4.9%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
58 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 43 - 74.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 4 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 62.8% – 85.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Lille (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Lorient (5.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Lille (2.44) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Lorient (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- Lille is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Lorient has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lille may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Injury)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lorient: Abergel L.
(Ankle Injury)
Igor Silva
(Injury)
Pagis P.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Injury)
Leroy B.
(Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Injury)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:18. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:3. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lorient?
Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Lille?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Lorient were as follows:
30.08.2025
Lorient
-
Lille
1:7
14.01.2024
Lille
-
Lorient
3:0
27.08.2023
Lorient
-
Lille
4:1
02.04.2023
Lille
-
Lorient
3:1
02.10.2022
Lorient
-
Lille
2:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
