Result
08/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Lille
58.1% | Draw
24.1% | Lorient
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Lille - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.6) |
3.99 ↓
(4.09) |
5.3 ↑
(5.25) |
4.8%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- Lille is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Lorient has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lille is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 44:18. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:3. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Lorient?
Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Lille?
Lorient has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Lorient were as follows:
30.08.2025
Lorient
-
Lille
1:7
14.01.2024
Lille
-
Lorient
3:0
27.08.2023
Lorient
-
Lille
4:1
02.04.2023
Lille
-
Lorient
3:1
02.10.2022
Lorient
-
Lille
2:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
