Lorient vs Lyon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV6
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.41
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
79% (234/295)85% (372/437)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.191.30
Total shots
148
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2112
Passes
79% (234/295)85% (372/437)
Long passes
47% (25/53)52% (24/46)
Passes in final third
64% (53/83)62% (61/98)
Crosses
44% (4/9)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.52
Throw-ins
1425
Fouls
1221
Tackles
83% (10/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
5234
Clearances
2412
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.301.19
Goals prevented
1.300.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Pagis P. ,
  • 42', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', de Carvalho M. , Hateboer H. ,
  • 57', Soumano S. 🟨,
  • 66', Abergel L. 🟨,
  • 70', Tagliafico N. , Moreira A. ,
  • 71', Soumano S. , Dieng B. ,
  • 71', Pagis P. , Karim D. ,
  • 78', Makengo J. , Cadiou N. ,
  • 90+1', Le Bris T. , Mvuka Mugisha J. ,
  • 90+1', Abergel L. , Tosin A. ,

Chances of winning


Lorient
25.6%
Draw
27.9%
Lyon
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 26.6% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 26.6% 42.3%

Lorient - Lyon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.73
(3.04)
3.42
(3.55)
2.06
(2.23)
4.6%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Lyon?
  • Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). Lyon will win (votes: 42 - 79.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 68.3%90.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Lyon (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 15 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lyon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Faye A. (Foot Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Kluivert R. (Ankle Injury) Mangala O. (Muscle Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tessmann T. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Lyon were as follows:
    09.03.2024 Lorient - Lyon 0:2
    08.10.2023 Lyon - Lorient 3:3
    05.03.2023 Lyon - Lorient 0:0
    07.09.2022 Lorient - Lyon 3:1
    Latest results of Lorient
    30.11.2025 Lorient - Nice 3:1
    23.11.2025 Nantes - Lorient 1:1
    09.11.2025 Lorient - Toulouse 1:1
    02.11.2025 Lens - Lorient 3:0
    Latest results of Lyon
    30.11.2025 Lyon - Nantes 3:0
    27.11.2025 Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lyon 0:6
    23.11.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 0:0
    09.11.2025 Lyon - Paris Saint-Germain 2:3
    06.11.2025 Betis - Lyon 2:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG21163248:163251
    2Lens21161437:172049
    3Lyon21133534:201442
    4Marseille21123646:271939
    5Lille21103834:30433
    6Rennes2187631:34-331
    7Strasbourg2193934:27730
    8Toulouse2186731:24730
    9Angers2185822:25-329
    10Monaco2184932:33-128
    11Lorient2177727:33-628
    12Brest2175928:33-526
    13Le Havre2158818:26-823
    14Nice21651027:38-1123
    15Paris FC2157926:34-822
    16Auxerre21351314:29-1514
    17Nantes21351319:37-1814
    18Metz21341421:46-2513

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2