Result
1:0
07/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 15
- Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (234/295) | 85% (372/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (234/295) | 85% (372/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (25/53) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (53/83) | 62% (61/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Pagis P. ⚽,
- 42', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', de Carvalho M. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
- 57', Soumano S. 🟨,
- 66', Abergel L. 🟨,
- 70', Tagliafico N. ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
- 71', Soumano S. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
- 71', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
- 78', Makengo J. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
- 90+1', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
- 90+1', Abergel L. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lorient
25.6% | Draw
27.9% | Lyon
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorient's form might have worsened.Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorient, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Lorient - Lyon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.73 ↑
(3.04) |
3.42 ↓
(3.55) |
2.06 ↓
(2.23) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lorient - Lyon?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Lyon (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Lyon will win
(42 of 53 users predict this - 79.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.33% – 90.17%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 15 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lyon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lorient: Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Faye A.
(Foot Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Kluivert R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mangala O.
(Muscle Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Tessmann T.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Lyon?
Lorient has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Lorient?
Lyon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Lyon were as follows:
09.03.2024
Lorient
-
Lyon
0:2
08.10.2023
Lyon
-
Lorient
3:3
05.03.2023
Lyon
-
Lorient
0:0
07.09.2022
Lorient
-
Lyon
3:1
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
