Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (336/375) | 90% (395/441) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (336/375) | 90% (395/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (78/103) | 68% (60/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 42% (10/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Tevez J. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
- 10', Bueno P. 🟨,
- 11', Da Silva P. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Manzaneda J. (Pen),
- 44', Gamarra C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Torres F. 🟨,
- 60', Colman I. 🟨,
- 61', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 64', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 64', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
- 64', Ruidias M. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
- 71', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
- 73', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
- 82', Ampuero A. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 83', Torres F. ↓, Rivero B. ↑,
- 83', Manzaneda J. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
- 90', Camargo I. 🟨,
- 90+4', Da Silva P. 🟥,
- 90+4', Takeuchi O. ↓, Zamalloa F. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Camargo I. ⚽,
- 90+8', Aucca M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Quintana A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
27.2% | Draw
27.6% | Cusco
45.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Los Chankas's form might have worsened.Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cusco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Los Chankas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cusco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Los Chankas - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(2.24) |
3.58 ↑
(3.35) |
2.1 ↓
(2.7) |
1.6%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - Cusco?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Los Chankas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Los Chankas has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
Velarde C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Los Chankas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against Cusco?
Los Chankas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Los Chankas?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - Cusco were as follows:
17.05.2025
Cusco
-
Los Chankas
3:3
17.10.2024
Cusco
-
Los Chankas
2:1
04.05.2024
Los Chankas
-
Cusco
2:0
Latest results of Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
