Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 0.29 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
79% (293/373) | 78% (281/359) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 0.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.26 | 0.85 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
79% (293/373) | 78% (281/359) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (29/69) | 41% (30/73) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (54/99) | 63% (59/94) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (6/23) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.43 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 78% (14/18) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 61 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.85 | 1.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.15 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Arias A. 🟨,
- 17', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Castro F. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 37', Ramos E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Quiroz A. ↓, Takeuchi O. ↑,
- 46', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 57', Rodriguez G. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
- 71', Arias A. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 73', Torres F. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
- 78', Martinez T. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 80', Castro F. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 80', Velarde C. ↓, Palomino J. ↑,
- 80', Torres S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Camargo I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas 25.1% | Draw 27.6% | FBC Melgar 47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Los Chankas - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.7 ↓ (4.39) |
3.4 ↓ (3.55) |
1.98 ↑ (1.67) |
7% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against FBC Melgar?
Los Chankas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Los Chankas?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - FBC Melgar were as follows:
15.09.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Los Chankas
2:0
06.04.2024
Los Chankas
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )