Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (293/373) | 78% (281/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (293/373) | 78% (281/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 41% (30/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (54/99) | 63% (59/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Arias A. 🟨,
- 17', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Castro F. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 37', Ramos E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Quiroz A. ↓, Takeuchi O. ↑,
- 46', Bueno P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 57', Rodriguez G. ↓, Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↑,
- 71', Arias A. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
- 73', Torres F. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
- 78', Martinez T. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 80', Castro F. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 80', Velarde C. ↓, Palomino J. ↑,
- 80', Torres S. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Camargo I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Los Chankas
25.1% | Draw
27.6% | FBC Melgar
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FBC Melgar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Chankas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Los Chankas - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↓
(4.39) |
3.4 ↓
(3.55) |
1.98 ↑
(1.67) |
7%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Los Chankas - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Melgar will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Los Chankas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Los Chankas won against FBC Melgar?
Los Chankas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Los Chankas?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Chankas - FBC Melgar were as follows:
15.09.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Los Chankas
2:0
06.04.2024
Los Chankas
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
Latest results of Los Chankas
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
