Luarca vs Caudal Deportivo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Luarca - Caudal Deportivo
Result
2:2
03/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Chances of winning


Luarca
15.3%
Draw
24.8%
Caudal Deportivo
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 27% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 26.7% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Caudal Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caudal Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caudal Deportivo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caudal Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luarca - Caudal Deportivo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.92
    (4.78)
    3.65
    (3.35)
    1.51
    (1.68)
    10.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).
    • Luarca has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Caudal Deportivo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Caudal Deportivo is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Caudal Deportivo to win the game is with odds 1.68.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luarca - Caudal Deportivo were as follows:
    15.10.2023 Caudal Deportivo - Luarca 2:1
    11.02.2023 Caudal Deportivo - Luarca 2:0
    09.10.2022 Luarca - Caudal Deportivo 0:2
    Latest results of Luarca
    25.02.2024 Llanes - Luarca 3:1
    18.02.2024 Ceares - Luarca 2:0
    11.02.2024 Luarca - Avilés Stadium 0:2
    04.02.2024 Llanera - Luarca 5:1
    28.01.2024 Luarca - Praviano 0:1
    Latest results of Caudal Deportivo
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2