Result
30/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Perugia
77.4% | Lube Civitanova
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.Lube Civitanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lube Civitanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lube Civitanova than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lube Civitanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Perugia - Lube Civitanova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.19 ↓
(1.31) |
|
4.07 ↑
(3.12) |
8.8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 146.50
What is the prediction for Perugia - Lube Civitanova?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SuperLega (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SuperLega (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 3.
- Perugia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Lube Civitanova has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Perugia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Perugia is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 44:38. (average 2.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 2.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Lube Civitanova?
Perugia has won 11 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lube Civitanova won against Perugia?
Lube Civitanova has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Lube Civitanova were as follows:
18.01.2026
Lube Civitanova
-
Perugia
1:3
30.12.2025
Perugia
-
Lube Civitanova
3:1
26.10.2025
Perugia
-
Lube Civitanova
3:2
24.04.2025
Perugia
-
Lube Civitanova
1:3
20.04.2025
Lube Civitanova
-
Perugia
3:0
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Lube Civitanova
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Perugia (1) | Monza (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Modena (4) | Piacenza (5) | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Verona (2) | Milano (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Trentino (3) | Lube Civitanova (6) | 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Perugia (1) | Piacenza (5) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Verona (2) | Lube Civitanova (6) | 1 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Perugia (1) | Lube Civitanova (6) | |
